ALERT: OPENDOOR STOCK SKYROCKETS 16% TODAY!!!
These notes were generated by AI and may contain inaccuracies.
NASDAQ closed slightly in the red, consolidating at 600 support range for QQQ (NASDAQ ETF). Some expect bounce back to previous highs of 640 as markets are more bullish than bearish. Others speculate potential break below 600 due to tensions between Iran and United States over the weekend; markets sell off on uncertainty or attacks. No one can predict the future; technically at previous support, markets bullish with higher highs, higher lows—no pattern break. Avoid being too aggressive.
Tomorrow: PCE report (Federal Reserve's favorite inflation measure) 1 hour before market open. Supreme Court decision on Trump's tariffs legality, or possible postponement.
Lost $3,500 on MSTZ today after $6,000 gain yesterday and $9,000 the day before. Saw 6.5% retracement; was up $3,000 at one point but direction turned as Bitcoin pushed up, MSTR recovered, causing MSTZ to drop. Not every day is green; shows both green and red days.
Opendoor (OPEN) stock up 15.4%, back to levels from January 30th. Strong downturn from highs of $10/share to lows of $4.30/share, losing over 50% value in months. Not a safe stock—very volatile. A trade, not an investment; meets meme stock criteria: from 50 cents/share to $10 highs.
Some have low averages like $1.50-$2/share, feeling comfortable going long. Issue: social media promoters, including ex-felons, pushing buys on beginners for speculative company. Example: Twitter user (felon) promoted OPEN as good buy at $6/share, hasn't updated position, calls non-buyers idiots. His average ~$6-7/share; trying to pump to exit.
Challenge promoters: ask to show they're buying at current levels ($5-6/share). Low volume allows manipulation; early holders pump, rug pull, beginners hold bag—like GameStop, MSTR.
Q4 earnings miss: EPS actual loss $1.26/share vs. expected loss 11 cents/share (miss by ~1000%). Revenue beat: $736 million vs. $594 million expected (+24%), but down 32% YoY.
- EPS down 688% YoY, 950% QoQ.
- Revenue down 32% YoY, 20% QoQ.
- Selling properties at loss; nearly $1 billion loss.
- Loses $300 million net/year.
- Negative PE ratio.
- No revenue growth quarter-over-quarter to support price.
Stock pumped past year despite fundamentals; some caught at highs trying to break even.
"Open Q4 earnings, massive bottom line miss... Revenue $736M vs. $594M exp. Big beat, but down 32% YoY... Huge losses on homes sold. EPS -$1.26 vs. exp. -11¢. Heavy miss."
Market ignores, rips 11% after-hours to $5.20 on forward narrative: management targets positive adjusted net income by end 2026; Q1 2026 guidance for highest contribution margins since Q2 2024. Expect 10% QoQ revenue drop, low-to-mid $30M adjusted EBITDA losses. Investors buy structural rebuild.
Passionate Opendoor army drives price; wouldn't trade here without it. Issue: accounts guaranteeing pumps, targeting beginners, acting like non-buyers are idiots—echoes crypto tribalism.
Example position: 1.6 million shares, market value $8.3 million, average $5.54, cost basis $8.9 million—down $700k (7% loss). Even after 15% pump, down 30% from $6.50; needs another 50% rally to break even.
Meme stocks are momentum trades, short-lived pumps; rug pulls like GameStop, AMC, crypto. Housing market weak, only one rate cut expected this year.
Advice: If you believe in restructure/new management, buy if it meets your criteria and you accept downside to $1 or 50 cents/share, capital burn. Analyze fundamentals, balance sheet. Take profits on speculative plays showing no growth. Never fear profits, especially with consistent misses.
No company succeeds just by 'wanting to do better.' Pumps short-lived; beginners often bag holders. High reward means high risk.
Example promoter: loser needing pump to break even, taken multiple trades, down 30-40%, doesn't update, pushes buys for exit liquidity.
Wishes best if due diligence done. Hope Opendoor turns around. Comment questions or stocks to break down. End year green.
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