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EXPLAINED: WHY IS SPACEX CRASHING TODAY?!?

Ricky GutierrezJune 22, 20269m
In a Nutshell

SpaceX shares plunged 32% to $155.86 after the company announced a $20 billion bond sale to fund its unprofitable XAI division, triggering dilution fears and sparking an $800 billion market-cap wipeout. The stock's sky-high valuation—near $2 trillion despite $8 billion in annual losses—has collapsed amid insider selling starting August 11 and broader market jitters. The speaker warns that speculative IPOs like this typically correct sharply once initial hype fades and fundamentals reassert themselves.

AI-Generated Notes

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SpaceX is down from highs of 230 per share to 155.86 during extended hours, representing a 32% decline and nearly one-third of its value lost in the past few trading days. The stock rallied significantly prior to this drop, leaving most investors who did not purchase on IPO day in the red. The speaker asks viewers to comment on their positions and whether they plan to cut losses or hold long-term.

SpaceX launched a $20 billion bond sale to fund AI expansion. Markets sell off on uncertainty and fear, similar to Google's $80 billion dilution share offering that caused its stock to drop. The funds target investment in XAI, SpaceX's direct competitor to ChatGPT and OpenAI.

The primary concern is dilution of SpaceX shareholders through capital raising, combined with XAI burning through substantial capital without a clear path to profitability. Investors worry about overinvestment in an unproven area lacking a solidified profit plan. This is not new behavior from Elon Musk, who tends to be very risk-averse, but the uncertainty has spooked investors.

The $20 billion bond sale for XAI expansion—not SpaceX operations—is identified as the main driver of the selloff. SpaceX has lost over $800 billion in value. The speaker notes the valuation never belonged at prior levels, citing Investing Pro data showing a negative $235 multiple for its P/E ratio. The company generates $19 billion in revenue but loses $8 billion, burning through capital while valued near $2 trillion. This has reduced Elon Musk's net worth from $1 trillion to $998 billion.

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