Back to Ricky Gutierrez

LIVE NOW: AMD EARNING REPORT 2026

Ricky GutierrezMay 5, 202635m
In a Nutshell

AMD's Q2 2026 earnings beat expectations (EPS up 4%, revenue up 7%), driving shares from a 5% initial drop to new all-time highs near $400 amid AI/semiconductor hype, despite high valuations (22% downside per fair value targets) and an 80-84% rally in recent months. Ricky, who trimmed most of his AMD position after the run-up, warns against FOMO buying at peaks in irrational markets—seen in volatile reactions from SMCI (up 16% on guidance despite revenue miss), MSTR (down 1% as Bitcoin proxy), and others—urging patience, profit-taking, and risk-reward analysis over chasing overbought stocks like AMD, NVDA, and SanDisk. In corrections triggered by inflation or yields, fundamentals will dominate, so stay cash-heavy and avoid overleveraging.

AI-Generated Notes

These notes were generated by AI and may contain inaccuracies.

Ricky with Tech Solutions live on May 5th, 2:55 p.m. in Arizona. NASDAQ pulling back as markets react to AMD earnings report. Other companies reporting: Super Micro, AMC, Strategy, Tempest AI, and AMD. AMD incredibly hyped, fundamentals disconnected from value. AMC part of GameStop movement, good reason to take profits; pushed to $393, crashed to $160 per share.

AMD up 3.6% before earnings, trading near all-time highs after 80% rally. Question if it meets expectations and provides better guidance. Based on Intel's report, likely to beat. Investing pros fair value analyst target shows 22% downside potential. Nvidia not cheap: 133 times earnings, premium valuation, disconnect between production and value. Overvalued stocks correct hardest in market corrections.

AMD expectations: $127 EPS, $9.85 billion revenue. Past 10 reports: 1 positive reaction. Ricky believes AMD will exceed expectations and react positively due to market sentiment and hype in semiconductors/AI space. AMD up 61% in past 30 days, 84% in six months, from $200 lows to $360 highs. Overvalued but hyped during greed-driven market.

Intel running due to Trump promotion, not fundamentals. SanDisk from $27 to $1,400, insane move. AMD stronger performer than Intel/SanDisk but not always Wall Street favorite.

Markets closing in 13 seconds, trying to pump before close. PLTR query: Fundamentally overvalued but excitement makes sense to buy now vs. $180-200 levels if bullish. Short-term downside before retesting highs. On watchlist for investment but markets inflated; likely to sell off in correction. Catalyst for selloff/correction: inflation creeping above 4-5%. Super Micro up 1.2% post-earnings. MSTR reports ignored as Bitcoin proxy. Tempest AI promoted by Nancy Pelosi: bought at $30-32, spiked to $90, ran to $104, crashed.

Sign in to read the full notes

Get access to AI-generated notes, topic timestamps, and more.