LIVE NOW: CPI DATA INFLATION REPORT MARCH 2026
In a Nutshell
February 2026 CPI rose 0.3% MoM as expected (2.4% YoY), with core CPI at 0.2% MoM; key drivers included fuel oil (+11.1%), food (+0.3%), and shelter (+0.2%), offset by declines in electricity (-0.7%) and used cars. Markets showed muted reaction, with NASDAQ/QQQ consolidating at 613 resistance amid sideways trading and Middle East oil tensions. Lower-than-expected oil prices could ease future inflation; join live trading session for market open.
These notes were generated by AI and may contain inaccuracies.
Good morning. It's Ricky with Tech Solutions. Today is March 11th, 5:26 AM, live for the CPI data report. NASDAQ market is break even in pre-market. Overall CPI expected at 2.4% vs prior 2.4%. Core CPI at 2.5% vs prior 2.5%. Monthly expectation: +0.3% from January's +0.2%. Official site: bls.gov/cpi. Once released, click the PDF for February data. Markets go up if CPI lower than expected (e.g., +0.1% or no change); down if +0.3% or higher.
Join live trading session at market open (1 hour away) via second link in description.
Less than 1 minute left. Markets descending in pre-market: lower highs, lower lows. Report released: CPI +0.3% as expected. Core CPI +0.4%? Markets trying to react positively but indecisive. Giving time for direction: run up or gap down. Delayed response, no strong reaction, possibly due to Middle East events.
Official site: bls.gov/cpi. February PDF: All items for Consumer Price Index for all urban consumers increased 0.3% before seasonal adjustment in February (after +0.2% in January). Over last 12 months: +2.4%. Shelter index rose 0.2%. Energy index rose 0.6%. Core CPI (all items less food and energy): +0.2%.
Indexes that increased: Medicare, apparel, household furnishings and operations, airline fares, education. Expect steep increases in March for airlines and oil prices due to rising tensions (started in February with Iran).
Line items tracked month-over-month (Jan to Feb):
- Food: +0.3%
- Food at home: +0.4%
- Energy commodities: gasoline, fuel oil
- Energy services: electricity, utility (gas) piped services
- Commodities less food and energy: new vehicles, used cars/trucks (decrease), apparel
- Medical care: commodities, services less energy services
- Shelter
- Transportation
- Medical care services
Biggest contributor: fuel oil +11.1%. Electricity: -0.7% decrease. Used cars and trucks: decrease. No change: medical care commodities, new vehicles.
If oil prices drop, inflation report can drop.
NASDAQ tried to push up/down but trading in range, down slightly. Bigger picture: 613 is strong resistance for QQQ (NASDAQ index); similar for S&P 500. Previously rejected here. Lack of progress could lead to another leg down on uncertainty. Not advising sell/panic, but be aware and tolerate if holding. Consolidating at obvious previous resistance.
Not normal muted CPI reaction; usually significant upside/downside move. Markets trading sideways past two months: no upside/downside progress. Uncertainty causes sell-off, then Trump tweet sparks recovery (e.g., this week). Trading in range: good for low volatility, avoids shakeouts. Days of sell-off followed by speedy recoveries keep it ranging.
Market focused on oil, which impacted CPI (fuel oil +11.1%). If Middle East settles, oil drops could gap down monthly oil inflation.
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