Terence Tao – How the world’s top mathematician uses AI
In a Nutshell
Terence Tao likens Kepler's empirical discovery process to high-temperature LLMs generating and verifying wild hypotheses against data, arguing AI now floods science with cheap ideas, shifting the bottleneck to verification, evaluation, and distinguishing progress amid abundance. AI excels at breadth—solving low-hanging Erdős problems via existing techniques and enabling experimental math at scale—but lacks human depth for cumulative insight, partial progress, and novel breakthroughs, making human-AI complementarity key to future science. Tao boosts personal productivity 2x on auxiliary tasks like literature and visuals, predicts AI as co-author by 2026, and advises embracing serendipity and new paradigms as AI lowers barriers for frontier math contributions.
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Terence Tao retells the story of Kepler discovering the laws of planetary motion. Kepler built on Copernicus, who proposed the heliocentric model with the Sun at the center and planets orbiting in perfect circles. This fit observations from Greeks, Arabs, and Indians. Kepler noted ratios of Copernicus's predicted orbit sizes had geometric meaning, proposing enclosing Earth's orbit in a cube where the outer sphere matched Mars's orbit, and so forth. With six known planets and five gaps, matching five Platonic solids: cube, tetrahedron, icosahedron, octahedron, dodecahedron. Kepler theorized inscribing these solids between planetary spheres, seeing it as God's mathematical design.
He needed data from Tycho Brahe, a wealthy eccentric Danish astronomer who funded an observatory on an entire island. Brahe took decades of naked-eye observations of planets like Mars and Jupiter on clear nights, the last naked-eye astronomer. Kepler worked with Tycho, who jealously gave data in bits. Kepler stole/copied it, fighting Brahe's descendants to use it. His Platonic solid theory failed, off by 10%. After years of fudges, he analyzed data to find actual orbits were ellipses, not circles—shocking. He derived two laws: orbits are ellipses; equal areas sweep equal times. Ten years later, with more data (Saturn and Jupiter hardest), third law: orbital period proportional to some power of Sun distance. No explanation; all empirical. Newton explained all three a century later.
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