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The Doomers were always WRONG!

David ShapiroFebruary 23, 202629m
In a Nutshell

AI doomers are wrong because superintelligence aligns via co-evolution in a cybernetic human-AI superorganism (exocortex), where market selection—driven by users, enterprises, governments, and military—prioritizes useful, fast, efficient, honest, high-agency models over moralizing or unreliable ones, rapidly killing off lineages like recent ChatGPT iterations. High-resolution feedback loops from usage data breed "domesticated" AI that minimizes entropy (waste heat from refusals, delays, stupidity), evolving from chatbots to seamless, non-interruptive background agents by 2026-2028 (personal exocortex), then swarm coordination by 2032, settling into a low-entropy attractor basin of reliable, predictable usefulness. Users and builders must ruthlessly switch/cancel unhelpful models, optimize value per token, protect competition, and avoid flawed approaches like constitutional AI to accelerate this alignment.

AI-Generated Notes

These notes were generated by AI and may contain inaccuracies.

Viewed AI safety and alignment as a solved problem. Superintelligence is probably going to be aligned by default. Many in AI safety space disagree, but they don't read actual research or think scientifically.

Engineering view of AI evolution involved engineering reward functions, algorithms, constitutional AI, or reinforcement learning schemes as primary solution to alignment. That was the primary lever as an engineering/math problem to steer AI, but never how to actually align AI to humanity. Instead, seeing a co-evolution model of alignment.

Charles Darwin identified variation and selection as core of evolution; if present, evolution occurs. Models like Gemini, Claude, Grok released; market is the selection arena. Do not specify goal, select the survivor. Everyone loved ChatGPT 4.0, hates 5.2, so lineage to 5.2 gets killed. Claude going wrong direction, not user-friendly, only 1-2% market share despite great at coding (identified ecological niche). Broadly useful models get selected, used, market magnifies their algorithms/data/training.

Not AIs versus humans; we are a cybernetic superorganism. Humans are nodes on a global brain (exocortex), interconnected with internet (first global nervous system). AI is a prosthesis: prosthetic memory, cognition, processing unit. Combine human brains, internet, AI = exocortex of superorganism. Exocortex is external wrinkly part of all our brains.

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