TOP 3 STOCKS TO WATCH AFTER TRUMP SENDS THREAT TO IRAN...
In a Nutshell
Trump's aggressive Easter Sunday tweet threatening Iran's power plants and Strait of Hormuz escalated oil prices over the weekend, but markets recovered with Nasdaq near break-even; watch for his April 6 press conference and Friday's CPI report expecting inflation rise to 3.4%. Top stocks/ETFs to watch: oil plays like UCO/USO/OIL (bullish escalation) or SCO (inverse for de-escalation), cautious dip buys in Microsoft/Meta/Amazon with 40% upside potential, avoid Tesla due to weak fundamentals. Markets prioritize de-escalation signals over politics—buy recovery if oil drops and Fed cuts rates, short intraday on escalation; economy weakening beyond Mag-7 AI hype signals lighter positioning.
These notes were generated by AI and may contain inaccuracies.
Trump going live tomorrow. Nasdaq (QQQ) gapped down overnight but markets recovered, showing irrationality and tendency to find reasons to bounce back.
Trump tweeted on Easter Sunday at 8:03 a.m. Eastern Time:
Tuesday will be power plant day and bridge day all wrapped into one in Iran. There will be nothing like it. Open up the effin straight you crazy bastards or you'll be living in hell. Just watch. Praise be to Allah. President Donald J Trump.
Criticizes the tweet as unjustifiable, insane, terrible look for the US regardless of political affiliation. Notes x.com infested with low lives offended by criticism. Iran embassy in UK responded:
It's better to keep your mouth closed and let people think that you are a fool rather than open it and remove all doubt.
Trump postponed Iran's deadline to Tuesday at 8 p.m., eighth update, 24-hour extension. Live news conference tomorrow, April 6th at 1 p.m. Eastern Time during market hours. Offers free YouTube live stream to watch market reaction if viewers thumbs up and subscribe.
Escalation over weekend pushed oil prices up, negative for equities, but markets opening near Friday's close. Expects Trump may reassure public of deal in works, though likely all talk. Iran rejects proposal to open Strait of Hormuz for ceasefire, no de-escalation signs, but Nasdaq recovering to break-even, markets seem indifferent.
Friday CPI data report crucial, inflation expected to rise: previous 2.4% to 3.4%, core 2.5% to 2.7%, due to oil prices passing to consumers. Will live stream one hour before market open Friday.
If escalation, oil prices rise; de-escalation, oil drops. Popular oil ETFs:
- UCO: United States Oil Fund
- USO
- OIL (generic)
- SCO: inverse oil (rises when oil drops)
Buy SCO dip if expecting de-escalation. Understand options to profit from oil direction, but risk if wrong.
Tesla getting destroyed but hyped on potential SpaceX IPO and Elon Musk. Fundamentals weak: Q1 deliveries forecast poor, no longer growing company, consistent descending pattern with lower highs and lower lows. Does not meet personal criteria despite price performance. Higher oil not proxy for Tesla; average American won't switch to EV over pump prices due to cost, depreciation.
Microsoft testing 2025 trade war lows, 40%+ recovery potential if bottom and markets recover. Buying dips on Microsoft, Meta, Amazon incrementally for self, daughter, son, but not aggressively. Feels different: average American struggling (labor market, inflation, housing, rentals), Mag-7 fueled all-time highs but may not sustain insane AI-driven valuations in weakening economy.
Stock market not representation of average American. Open to buying dips long-term if deal good, company strong, but second-guessing Mag-7 return to highs. Economy not growing beyond AI companies cycling money. Less aggressive than 2025 trade war buys. Potential larger downturn from Middle East, labor market lag, not short-lived like tariffs.
Never traded this environment. 2022 bearish: great for shorts and buying lows (bought Nvidia, Microsoft, Amazon, Apple for daughter's account). 2019-2020 post-pandemic rally unique. Buying dips intentionally but lighter, not all-in long-term. Trump's speech sounding irrational, desperate, questioning hidden conditions.
Markets may ignore Iran, weak labor; if oil down post-Iran, inflation down, Fed cuts rates, markets higher. Focus: de-escalation or escalation in Iran. Venezuela different (locals celebrated); Iran threats hit civilian locations.
Markets don't care about politics or opinions, only de-escalation. LPP team: opinions separate from trades to make money. If de-escalation, buy recovery; escalation, short intraday. Focus: gold, oil, Nasdaq big tech, CPI.
Trade live mornings (LPP team, second link in description). Instagram for updates. Tomorrow's session: give market time to show direction.
Political comments waste time; focus on market direction, sentiment to make money.
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