TOP 5 STOCKS TO WATCH THIS WEEK
These notes were generated by AI and may contain inaccuracies.
Happy Sunday. It's Ricky with Techbutt Solutions. Today is February 15th, 7:51 p.m. in Arizona. Markets closed last week with a gap up around the 13th. Consolidation at overbought levels, gapped up to highs of nearly 71,000 on the 14th, but BTC is now declining. Does not trade Bitcoin but shorts Micro Strategy (MSTR) which follows BTC price. Stays up to date with overbought and oversold levels. If BTC declines after testing previous resistance without breaking above, expects MSTR to drop. MSTR has been favorite to short for LPP team, consistently bearish from highs of $450 to lows of $100, lost over 75% value. Shorting carries greater risk; does not mean others should short it.
This week features companies reporting earnings. Check date, before market open or after close. Carvana (CVNA) reports after markets close on Wednesday.
Carvana was very bullish based on recent performance but has done this before: strong uptrend post-pandemic, then from highs of $370 per share to lows of $3 per share during 2022 recession downturn. People lost everything going long. Recovered from 2023 lows with 3900% return, nearly 4,000%. Question: overbought and overvalued, or pulled back enough to buy if markets uptrend? Not convincing markets will sell off, challenges that narrative. Technically: ascending uptrend, ascending support and resistance, possible dip buy opportunity with earnings. Dive into fundamentals using Investing Pro (link in description, sale < $10/month). Net income expected to grow this year despite lower 2026 guidance. Trades at 77.1x earnings premium, $18 billion revenue, $1 billion net profit. Earnings and revenue fluctuated: peaked post-pandemic, downturn, bottomed late 2023/early 2024, now upticking. Q4 2025 earnings key for 2026 guidance: continued growth bullish, or consumer spending down bearish. Trading at critical range with ascending support, top performer 2024-2025. Watch if breaks support or retests $480 (over 40% potential recovery). Patterns repeat. If expect drop to $50 or $5, short at critical support; if uptrend continues, buy dip for recovery.
Stock market closed tomorrow for President's Day. Futures open, but does not trade them. New LPP signups noted.
Chat request: APP great earnings. Day chart: huge retracement to lows of 390 from highs of 700 (50% retracement to 350), gapped to 388, testing oversold reversal. Struggling, lost momentum, lower highs/lower lows, descending pattern. Testing previous resistance now support. Investing Pro: fair value more downside, analyst target 671, average 384, model 384. PE not incredibly high. Net income and revenue up quarter after quarter. Revenue aggressive increase past four quarters after two-year plateau. Challenges: 39% YTD decline, platform dependency on Apple/Google policy, regulatory scrutiny on data collection, AI competition like Cloudex disrupting mobile ad ecosystem. Analyst sentiment positive, buy ratings at $700-800 targets, view decline as buying opportunity despite high earnings multiple. No dividends, moderate debt, impressive gross profit margin (out of red in 2022). Revenue: 624% increase, 60% decrease, support retest, 200% uptick, now down. Newer company, public early 2021. No change of direction yet, descending. Sold off post-earnings, retested support. Prefer break descending structure and uptick. > "I would rather be late to a rally than early to a sell-off."
MSTZ is double leveraged ETF for MSTR: if MSTR drops 5%, MSTZ up 10%; if MSTR rises 25%, MSTZ down 50%. Leverage terrible when against you. Justify for day trades if experienced and direction favorable, but not overnight due to path dependencies and daily rebalancing. Example: MSTR at 130 start, weeks later still 130 but MSTZ down 5-10% from intraday volatility, closes, opens, rebalancing rate of decay. Beginners should not use leverage; learn to walk before run. MSTZ not safe for beginners. Discloses risks, unlike some crypto promoters.
SoFi recent downturn, retesting old resistance. Traded in $12-14 range forever, broke structure, terrible in 2022 downturn, upward staircase since. Volatile: $7-8 to $20 (184% increase), $19 to $9 (51% decrease), $9 to $32 (260% upswing), now decreasing. Understand stock characteristics. MACD oversold, but indicators reference only. Why stop selling off? Old resistance as support? Markets uptick? Or markets break support and downturn (QQQ/SPY testing support)? Speculative stocks like SoFi suffer more. Trades at 51.9x earnings, $3.5B revenue, <$0.5B net income. Revenue consistent, recent earnings reported. No support signs yet. Was cheap at $22 last week, $25 prior; wait for confirmation (break descending structure, higher highs/lows, above moving average, ascending support). > "I would rather be late to a rally than early to a sell-off." Risk gamble now if markets uptick, or wait.
Microsoft one of Magnificent 7, aggressive 27% retracement from highs, now at $400. NASDAQ (QQQ), S&P 500 at all-time highs. Perspective on 2026: bullish (Fed cuts rates, markets thrive)? Then buy dips: MSFT, SoFi (66% potential), Carvana (40%). Job revisions down 1 million for 2025, already factored in. Red flags: consumer spending down (lower class/income), real estate slowing (lagging indicator), markets at highs from trillion-dollar companies overspending on AI, not representing economy. Markets due for correction every 3-4 years when overbought/overextended/overvalued. Stock market leading indicator, gets ahead then corrects. Billionaire's economy. 2022 retracement lasted 12 months entire year from Jan 2022 highs to 2023 lows: hope then taken away, repeated, downturned 12 months. You guys remember that?
High inflation at a 40-year high led the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates and slow spending, causing a downturn. After an amazing year, a slight correction is possible due to elevated trading levels, expensive valuations, and slowing conditions. Recessions or bubble pops have specific triggers few can identify. Markets are uncertain with red flags emerging.
Savvy investors trim long positions, hold cash on the sidelines to avoid overleverage, tolerate downturns, and buy dips when deals appear. No need to short everything. Wait for oversold levels rather than predicting the bottom. Buy in increments if the company is liked at a fair price.
As Warren Buffett likes to say, buy when there's blood in the market or fear in the market and sell when people are greedy.
LULU has not confirmed a reversal; it remains in a strong descending pattern since 2023 with rallies but no strong recovery signs. Peaked around end of 2023 to start of 2024, then constant downturn. Athletic wear market may be more saturated and competitive.
Possible smaller swings from lows of $172 to highs of $215, with consolidation at support. Could break below to lows of $160. Oversold technically with fair upside potential, trades at 11.9 times earnings. Revenue increasing. If bottomed, strong financial position with $1 billion in cash, no debt, flexible to navigate current conditions. Reminds of PayPal effect: fundamentally growing but Wall Street sells off with consistent lower lows and lower highs.
UNH, largest healthcare insurance company, traded at $600 billion market cap, $600 per share before US government investigation. Huge downturn due to uncertainties, especially with current administration aiming for cheaper healthcare, impacting net profits.
Value play at low ratio. Prints money: $98 billion net profit, $447 billion revenue (nearly half a billion, more than current market cap). Not bullish now due to investigation and uncertainties—not ideal if rushing to make money.
Amazon, Meta, Microsoft recently downturned. Buy the dip if expecting markets to push higher. Hold back if anticipating more sell-off, as big tech (Mag 7 including Tesla) will sell off with QQQ, SPY. Consider outlook for 2025-2026.
Hoping BTC makes lower lows and lower highs. MSTR could break below $68, then $67, $66; more BTC sell-off means more MSTR sell-off and shorting profits.
Uses Investing Pro software for stock analysis (sale: less than $10/month, first link in description). Only service offered: LPP live trading team (second link in description). Beware fake accounts offering copy trading or managed services—no Telegram, WhatsApp, or outreach. Subscribe to YouTube channel. End the year on a green note.
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