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Warning: You Might Want To Sell Soon Before Its Too Late...

Ricky GutierrezMay 1, 20268m
In a Nutshell

Markets hit new S&P and NASDAQ highs amid Iran's final peace proposal and ceasefire end, with potential rejection risking pullbacks despite a 21.87% rally in 30 days; Trump escalates EU tariffs to 25% on cars/trucks. Live trading captured SanDisk short profits post-earnings (yesterday $5,900, eyeing 10% drop to ~1,030), while watching NASDAQ support for broader sell-off confirmation before aggressive shorts. Use new risk calculator for calculated trades; stay patient amid uncertainty—wait for market confirmation, avoid leverage at elevated levels.

AI-Generated Notes

These notes were generated by AI and may contain inaccuracies.

Markets make fresh new highs as Iran sends its final proposal. Markets have celebrated the end of the Iran war for almost four weeks. Trump could keep negotiations going, pull back markets, then announce a peace deal to push to new all-time highs. We're three weeks into one of the biggest rallies in a short period: from lows of 554 to new all-time highs for S&P and NASDAQ, 21.87% return in 30 days. Anything can happen in an irrational market.

Iran submitted its final peace proposal to the US today, the end of the ceasefire extension. Nuclear issue not agreed upon; big chance US rejects it. All eyes on negotiations, especially with big tech earnings next week.

  • Palantir on Monday (excited to livestream)
  • Shopify on Tuesday pre-market/aftermarket
  • AMD, huge mover with 80% ROI past 1-2 months

Spirit Airlines preparing to shut down; $500 million US loan deal fallen through. If a company can't be run correctly and turn a profit, let it fail.

President Trump turning up heat with tariffs. On Truth Social: pleased to announce, based on EU not complying with agreed trade deal, increasing tariffs next week on cars and trucks from EU to 25%. Trump's tariffs voted illegal? Loophole? Why pay back $160 billion later? Unprecedented times.

In today's live trading session, markets popped celebrating potential Iran proposal. Solidified proposal could push higher; or new month kickoff, Friday weather. Didn't rush in; let market ride. Caught sharp push up then correction on SanDisk (down 8% yesterday post-earnings, gapped up 4-5%).

Opened short on SanDisk during live session. If sells off to pre-market levels around 1,030, that's 10% sell-off; capturing half is fine. Yesterday made $5,900 shorting SanDisk post-earnings (took profits as seen in live stream). Now watching for break of structure below moving average support on 5-minute chart. Still holding above EMA; if breaks and curls down to pre-market support, good setup.

As long as markets irrational and elevated, they can stay elevated. But if NASDAQ breaks support and corrects, it creates environment for broader sell-off. Watching for NASDAQ sell-off confirmation before adding to SanDisk short.

New risk calculator tool for LPP group beginners (link in comments, LPP homepage). Input entry point, stop-loss, profit target, shares to understand potential make/lose. Ideal for beginners: plan trades with risk-reward ratios. Only take calculated trades meeting criteria and direction.

We can never predict the future, but we can always prepare to only take calculated trades.

Encourages intentional trading. Available on mobile, best on desktop. Join LPP: one-time payment, lifetime access, daily live sessions, previous sessions available (link below).

Stay patient, calculated. Take advantage of opportunities at elevated levels but no leverage, no over-aggression. Uncertainty: bond yields up, interest rates stagnant, inflation up, labor markets weak, but AI carrying markets to highs. Wait for overall market sell-off confirmation before individual tech sells off.

When overall markets begin to sell off, that individual tech company that you're watching will also begin to sell off. Wait for that confirmation.

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