Watch This Before Fed Rate Decision Gets Released!
In a Nutshell
Fed's interest rate decision hits Wednesday at 2:00 p.m. ET, with 98.3% odds of a pause—no cut expected; tune into Jerome Powell's press conference 30 minutes later for hawkish/dovish tone signaling market direction (live stream on YouTube). Oil prices spiked to $120/barrel amid Iran tensions but could dump if conflict resolves soon—prep watchlists for oil stocks and inverse ETF like SEO, avoiding shorts on overbought setups without confirmation. QQQ sits oversold at 612-615 support; Trump tweets can spark quick reversals, so cash out when in doubt and watch for trading opps.
These notes were generated by AI and may contain inaccuracies.
Happy Sunday. Ricky with Techbutt Solutions. Key reports this week: Wednesday Fed interest rate decision at 2:00 p.m. Eastern time (2 hours before markets close), Fed FOMC statement also on Wednesday. Jerome Powell speaks 30 minutes after the rate decision. Plan to live stream it for free on YouTube channel—subscribe and turn on post notifications. Market reacts to the report and Powell's tone during the press conference for bullish or bearish signals.
US energy secretary says Iran conflict will end in the next few weeks after oil supply goes up, leading to energy prices dumping. If conflict resolves and oil has no reason to skyrocket, oil prices should drop. Oil went from $60 per barrel to $120 parabolically due to ongoing conflict—avoid shorting overbought setups like this yet. Created oil watch list for LPP team: stocks following oil and an inverse oil ETF (e.g., SEO—goes up when oil goes down). Example: SEO rose when oil dumped, fell as oil recovered with continued conflict.
Oil Trading Advice
Prepare watch lists and plans for entry, but don't be naive. Just because something is overbought doesn't mean it can't run higher (like "just because something is cheap doesn't mean it can't get cheaper"). Instead of predicting, prepare: set alerts, wait for confirmation. Tensions could worsen in Middle East, driving oil higher.
President Trump says he could sign a peace deal with Iran, but terms not good enough yet. Watch for such messages. Big focus: rate decision and press conference Wednesday. Trump notorious for market-influencing tweets in his favor—e.g., last week tweeted Iran war pretty much over, markets recovered aggressively without foundation, then gave it all back by close.
Trading in Trump's Market
Take advantage of opportunities but understand risks. Trump can tweet and influence markets. When in doubt, cash out.
QQQ in oversold range (not overbought). Respect these levels as they often hold. Past few weeks: oversold support around 612-615; 612 to 615 more common resistance with rejections. Be careful aggressively shorting oversold markets—we're always one tweet away from recovery.
Fed rate monitor tool shows 98.3% probability Fed will pause (no rate cut). Rate decision at 2:00 p.m. ET, press conference 30 minutes later—most important part. Market expects pause (98% probability). Focus on Jerome Powell's tone: hawkish or dovish based on Iran events and US situation? Does he feel need to cut rates more or continue pausing?
Live Stream Invitation
Live stream FOMC press conference together. Drop thumbs up, subscribe for notifications on uploads and events.
Watch live trading: second link in description, sign up today to watch as soon as tomorrow. Members from 2018 still watch live after one-time payment. End the year on a green note.
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