WATCH THIS BEFORE FOMC RATE DECISION TOMORROW!!!
In a Nutshell
Markets are flat ahead of tomorrow's FOMC rate decision at 2 p.m. ET, with 97.9% probability of a pause per Fed rate monitor tool—watch Jerome Powell's hawkish/dovish tone in the 30-minute post-announcement press conference for directional cues. Trading range is 595-615; expect volatility but avoid forcing trades, as markets price in expectations beforehand. Join live stream for real-time analysis to end the year green.
These notes were generated by AI and may contain inaccuracies.
Tomorrow is the FOMC rate decision. This covers everything needed before it happens. Markets have been relatively flat for the second day in a row from open to close, with no change despite some range. Today showed a range of highs and lows but closed flat overall. Markets closed up half a percent, and overnight hours pushed higher. Much action occurs when markets are closed.
Tomorrow will be volatile, especially for beginners—not ideal for forcing trades or overtrading. Better to watch the market than take aggressive positions.
FOMC rate decision at 2 p.m. Eastern time. According to the Fed rate monitor tool:
- 97.9% probability of pausing.
- 2% probability of raising rates.
- 0% probability of cutting rates.
Rate cuts would drive markets higher, but markets are going higher ahead of time. Markets are rational and price in expectations beforehand, leading to rejection after the report for those buying highs.
30 minutes after the announcement, Jerome Powell holds a press conference to answer analyst questions. Pay attention to his tone: hawkish or dovish. He sticks to his scope. Markets watch his tone to decide if rallying continues or reverses.
Markets trading in tight range: lows of 595 to highs of 610-615. Tomorrow may break structure—back to previous highs, new highs, rejection to new lows, or retest lows.
Sign in to read the full notes
Get access to AI-generated notes, topic timestamps, and more.