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Watch This Before Robinhood Reports Earnings Today...

Ricky GutierrezFebruary 10, 202612m
AI-Generated Notes

These notes were generated by AI and may contain inaccuracies.

Robinhood reports Q4 2025 earnings after market close. Market expectations: 60 cents per share earnings, $1.34 billion revenue. Expectations raised year-over-year, unlike Tesla where they declined despite elevated stock price.

Stock peaked at $153 around October 2025 (crypto market peak), then made lower highs and lower lows. Dropped over 50% from highs to lows of $72, further to $68 in extended hours. Recovered to $87 after last week's Friday and this week.

Bearish: lower highs, lower lows, looks ready to fall off a cliff. Consolidation, no progress above $90. Descending moving averages. Break below $85 support leads to gap down to $70.

PE ratio: 35.4x earnings. After 50% decline, not trading at high PE. Low PE relative to near-term earnings growth, but high PE multiple overall. In 2022 market downturn (end 2021 to start 2023), revenue declined consistently.

Weekly chart: End 2021 highs $84-$85 post-IPO, crashed to $6 lows held for almost a year in 2023. Uptick began 2024 with revenue growth increasing. Direct correlation between market downturn and revenue decline.

Not pro-crypto, hates crypto community as degenerates encouraging leverage at all-time highs. Respects Robinhood and Coinbase for innovating. Revenue tied to order flow, trading fees, activity. Crypto peaked 2021, revenue slowed, upticked later.

Crypto somewhat peaked now, downturn underway. Q4 2025 earnings likely to meet expectations as it included period of all-time high crypto trading. Key focus: guidance for 2026. Will they validate crypto winter with slowdown projections like other tech firms on consumer spending?

Lower guidance expected, but not devastating. Would love to invest in Robinhood/Coinbase at cooldown discounts. Appreciates CEOs' proactive innovation despite not everything working. Leaders in business grow companies. Prefers stocks generating revenue over speculative crypto.

Makes money from crypto/speculative asset trading. Won't buy now: expects crypto sell-off, thus retrace for Robinhood/Coinbase. Opinion-based, could be wrong and miss 77% recovery potential to previous highs.

If bullish on markets/crypto hitting new highs, buy the dip. Expects more uncertainty, slowing consumer spending in 2026 negatively impacting these companies. Hopes they are not overleveraged to sustain downturn.

Wants discount, not enough now especially pre-earnings. Respects businesses innovating and making money in the space, even if dislikes community. Calculated approach to making money.

Break support, gap to $70? Or exceed expectations, parabolic to $100-$110? Explore pros/cons, upside/downside for intentional position sizing/exposure.

Small trade on MSTZ (not for beginners): MSTR overbought, expects drop if Bitcoin drops, so MSTZ rises. Makes money on Bitcoin drop without trading it. Focuses on risk management, principles, healthy habits. No buy/sell signals, in-depth understanding.

Trades live every morning with LPP team. Lifetime access one-time payment (members from 2018 still active). Links in description: Investing Pro first, LPP second. End year green. Baker team.

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