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ALERT: THIS IS WHY MARKETS ARE CRASHING TODAY!

Ricky GutierrezJune 25, 20266m
In a Nutshell

Markets opened with a sharp sell-off despite stronger-than-expected GDP and PCE data, triggered by Apple's announcement of steep price hikes on iPads and MacBooks due to rising AI-related chip costs. The 5% drop in Apple shares, given its massive market weight, sparked broad fear-driven selling across tech and crypto, with MSTR, STRC, and Bitcoin all hitting multi-week lows. The speaker views the move as an overreaction following the prior upside overreaction to Micron's earnings, and positioned long on MU as a short-term trade.

AI-Generated Notes

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Markets opened with a significant gap down on June 25th at 7:50 a.m. Arizona time. The LPP team took advantage of the volatility by adding to shorts, covering shorts, going long, and then going short again during the live trading session. The speaker went long on MU (Micron) after shorting it, noting that the decision to go long should not influence others' decisions. Micron appeared oversold following its earnings report, potentially positioning it to lead market recovery.

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The NASDAQ 100 experienced one of the biggest sell-offs observed in such a short period of time. On the five-minute timeframe, markets were pushing higher and celebrating Micron's earnings when the PCE report and GDP report were released. Both reports came in better than expected, with the GDP report showing 2.1 actual versus 1.6 expected, indicating the US economy is accelerating.

Despite these bullish indicators, markets shifted dramatically as soon as trading opened. The speaker expressed frustration with this type of market behavior, describing it as a "full rugpool" rather than a normal correction of an overbought market. Markets had been creeping up slowly, making new highs, with reports pushing prices even higher before the sudden reversal.

The PCE report came out better than expected with adjustments noted. The GDP report significantly exceeded expectations at 2.1 versus the 1.6 forecast. Despite these positive economic indicators showing accelerating US economic growth, markets sold off substantially.

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