Breaking: Iran Denies Talks as Trump Ultimatum Deadline Hits
In a Nutshell
Trump's ultimatum on Iran expired with a tweet announcing productive talks and a 5-day postponement of strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure, adding $2T to S&P 500 initially, but Iran's denial triggered a $1T retracement with markets holding oversold levels. No attacks signal de-escalation and potential QQQ recovery to 610; further strikes confirm lies and escalation. Stay cash/light, wait for confirmation via actions—go long on de-escalation/upside, trim/short on attacks/downside; oil plunged (UCO -14.6%) while airlines rose 4-7%.
These notes were generated by AI and may contain inaccuracies.
QQQ went from lows of 575 to highs of 597 in the pre-market session but has not made new highs yet. Rewatch today's live trading session with the LPP team for every step in preparation for these unprecedented times. Join the LPP team via the second link in the description.
President Trump issued an ultimatum on Iran that was set to run out within 24 hours, later today. Trump tweeted 2.5 hours before markets opened:
I am pleased to report that the United States of America and the country of Iran have had and over the last two days very good and productive conversations regarding the complete and total resolution of our hostilities in the Middle East. Based on the tenor and the tone of these in-depth, detailed and constructive conversations which continue throughout the week, I have instructed the Department of War to postpone any and all military strikes against Iranian power plants and energy infrastructures for a 5-day period.
This postpones strikes for 5 days, effectively ending the ultimatum with a ceasefire timed perfectly after markets close on Friday.
Iran's foreign minister denies any talks with Washington, accusing Trump of buying time while regional de-escalation efforts continue. Trump claims talks are going well; Iran says no talks. This pattern—attacks on Friday, war-over announcements on Monday—has repeated for the past four weeks.
Sign in to read the full notes
Get access to AI-generated notes, topic timestamps, and more.