BREAKING: TRUMP SAID IRAN WAR IS OVER?!?
In a Nutshell
Markets recovered from a $900B dip and closed green despite ongoing Iran attacks, fueled by false G7 reserves news and Trump's tweet claiming "Iran's war is very complete," which drove a final rally even as oil hit $120/barrel and threats escalated over the Strait of Hormuz. The speaker slams irrational tweet-driven trading as blatant manipulation by one unregulated individual, ignoring fundamentals amid red flags like Middle East tensions and upcoming CPI, GDP, PCE data. Shoutout to a trader profiting $11K on longs, but warns markets may falter as attacks worsen.
These notes were generated by AI and may contain inaccuracies.
Markets were down about $900 billion at one point but closed in the green. Recovery driven by a tweet predicting deescalation, not by stopped attacks or actual deescalation.
Futures opened Sunday and aggressively sold off due to weekend attacks in Iran targeting one of their largest facilities. Markets bottomed then recovered. Attacks caused uncertainty, bad for markets, but oil prices skyrocketed to nearly $120 a barrel.
False G7 Reserves News
False news released about G7 possibly tapping reserves; markets recovered on that. Morning confirmation: no reserves to be released yet. Markets continued pumping higher instead of selling off; investors bought the dip. Oil corrected initially.
Right before close, Trump tweeted, ">Yeah, Iran's war is very complete." Markets pumped higher and oil pumped down despite ongoing attacks. Trump threatened to hit Iran 20 times harder if they stop oil flow in the Strait of Hormuz. This does not indicate deescalation.
Encouraged taking profits on short positions, as seen in past patterns like Venezuela attacks and original Iran attacks: overnight red markets closed green Monday.
Markets irrational, driven by one person's tweet, not fundamental changes. Irritated by one individual manipulating markets with known influence, no regulation. Contrast: trading in 1980s used fundamentals and technicals; today it's tweets, even if untrue.
Trump's statement false given current Iran situation.
Markets held up by false news and hope presents red flags and uncertainty. Relief rallies nice for longs, but negative catalysts remain: Middle East attacks, oil supply/demand issues.
Upcoming reports:
- Existing home sales
- Wednesday: CPI data
- Friday: GDP and PCE
Questions how many tweets needed to pump markets against negative news. Blatant obvious manipulation by one individual with unchecked influence; ordinary people jailed for less. "Rules for thee, not for me."
Shoutout to trader who made over $11,000 on TQ KQ position going long past week. Nothing against those profiting long and exiting; goal is making money. Irritating that markets ignore technicals and fundamentals due to tweet manipulation.
Markets may continue trading based on worsening Iran attacks and data digestion. Live trading session tomorrow: second link in description.
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