It's over.
In a Nutshell
Anthropic's new Fable model is crushing competitors and dominating the enterprise API market, prompting the US government to intervene with demands to slow down or pull the model under the guise of safety concerns. The speaker dismisses the safety claims as political theater driven by rival labs and power dynamics, comparing the situation to a messy Game of Thrones power struggle rather than legitimate regulatory oversight. He concludes that current AI models remain fundamentally limited tools requiring human direction and are nowhere near replacing engineers or creating production-ready code without oversight.
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The speaker played extensively with Claude Fable on Friday and found it to be a really good model. They did not examine any code during testing, focusing instead on quickly creating games. The speaker has moved away from productivity apps entirely, stating that productivity tools are dead because anyone can now build their own. They noted that their entire career of making productivity apps could now be rebuilt in 15 minutes by others.
The speaker recommends moving on to making games and made three to four game concepts on Friday morning through afternoon. They found nothing they could throw at the model that it couldn't handle. Anthropic's $200 plan is described as extremely generous, providing $8,000 worth of usage according to SemiAnalysis.
The current state of AI has become a political game for the giants and titans of industry. When playing at that level, the rest of us only receive a trickle of news from sources confiding in journalists, which likely involves exaggeration depending on the source. Information from Anthropic will differ from information from the US government.
The speaker dislikes politics because it is an information asymmetry game where peasants lack insider information needed to form accurate assessments. When in doubt, assume actions are about power and capital. Safety has never mattered to anyone. The idea that the US government got spooked safety-wise by Fable is dismissed as not having happened.
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