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LIVE NOW: FOMC RATE DECISION & PRESS CONFERENCE 2026

Ricky GutierrezSeptember 16, 20261h 23m
Topics37
FOMC Rate Decision Strategy0:00Today's Closed Trades0:33Pre-Report Trading Philosophy1:30Market Bias and Positioning2:32Trading Career Advice for Beginners4:07LPP Team and Software Promotion6:32Market Status Before Decision7:40DJT Stock Analysis10:00Rate Decision Reaction12:03Post-Decision Market Analysis15:37Position Sizing Philosophy17:05MicroStrategy Short Trade19:30Technical Analysis Approach21:05Handling Negative Comments24:05Market Levels and Risk Management26:32Additional Market Observations27:00CoreWeave Stock Analysis29:21Robinhood (HOOD) Analysis32:01NanoNuclear Energy (NNE) Analysis36:10FOMC Press Conference Preparation39:34FOMC Rate Decision Announcement43:07Economic Strength Indicators44:00Decision Rationale47:31Press Conference Q&A50:07Market Data Dependence vs. Trend Analysis58:29Presidential Trade Threats and Fed Independence1:00:01Distributional Consequences and the Least Well-Off1:01:04International Central Bank Coordination1:02:31Evolution of Economic Assessment1:04:07Bond Market Signals and Yield Increases1:05:31Price Stability Timeline and SEP Forecasts1:07:30AI Concerns and Staying in Lane1:09:04Supply Shocks, Tariffs, and Rate Hike Necessity1:10:34$1,000 Weekly Webull Cash Giveaway Announcement1:12:00Webull Account Requirements and LPP Integration1:14:30Trading Day Performance and Platform Mentions1:17:31LPP Service Details and Warnings1:19:01
In a Nutshell

The trader closed positions for $14k+ profit (MSTR short $9k+, Dell $2.6k, INTC $480) and avoided pre-FOMC trades due to unpredictability. The Fed hiked rates 25bps to 4%, but markets barely reacted and remained up 0.72% as the decision was largely priced in. Core strategy emphasizes maintaining stable income before trading, using small position sizes to manage risk, and focusing on price action over fundamentals when trading momentum names like CoreWeave and NanoNuclear despite questionable business models.

AI-Generated Notes

These notes were generated by AI and may contain inaccuracies.

The presenter has all positions fully closed and is waiting for the market to react rather than attempting to predict outcomes before the rate decision. The focus is on observing market behavior after the rate decision and press conference rather than taking trades beforehand.

Positions closed for the day include:

  • Dell Technologies: $2,600 profit
  • Intel (INTC): $480 profit from a small position
  • MicroStrategy (MSTR): $9,000+ profit from yesterday's short, plus $2,400 profit today

The presenter explains the decision to avoid trades before the FOMC report:

  • Cannot predict the future
  • High probability exists that the Federal Reserve will raise rates
  • However, markets are considered among the most irrational ever seen
  • President Trump's tendency to tweet and manipulate markets adds uncertainty
  • Multiple red flags exist including inflation, bond market concerns, oil concerns, Iran concerns, housing concerns, and labor market concerns
  • Markets are trading near all-time highs despite these concerns

The presenter maintains:

  • A rate hike would be welcomed to see markets drop
  • Ready to short if needed
  • Also prepared to buy dips on quality companies
  • Acknowledges markets are historically more bullish than bearish

Key advice for new traders:

  • Stability is essential; had a stable job until age 20-21
  • Do not depend on trading income to stay afloat, as this leads to irrational decisions

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