WATCH THIS BEFORE CPI DATA INFLATION REPORT TOMORROW!!!
In a Nutshell
Markets traded flat ahead of tomorrow's CPI inflation report (released at bls.gov/cpi), with expectations for unchanged core CPI at 2.5% and overall month-over-month at 2.4% (forecast 0.3%, though actual inflation may exceed 3% due to missing shutdown data). Lower-than-expected CPI could prompt more Fed rate cuts amid weakening labor market, boosting markets, while higher readings would halt cuts and pressure stocks—prepare for pre-market volatility. Check key line items like food, energy, shelter; live stream possible at 5:30 a.m. if video hits 1,000 likes.
These notes were generated by AI and may contain inaccuracies.
NASDAQ market traded relatively sideways, almost made new highs, then returned to previous lows. Market was flat for the day. Tomorrow, markets are supposed to react to CPI data report one hour before markets open.
Would consider going live at 5:30 a.m. for CPI if video gets over 1,000 likes. Market expectation for core CPI is 2.5% (current 2.5%, no change expected). For overall CPI month-over-month: previous 2.4%, forecast 2.4%, no change expected.
Report released at bls.gov/cpi. Consumer Price Index (CPI) is one of the most important monthly inflation reports, showing month-over-month prices for specific consumer goods. Click PDF version; tomorrow it will show February 2026 data. If not, refresh. They add new month (February) and remove old month (February), like last month with January.
Two data points missing for October and November due to government shutdown. Inflation rate of 2.4% doesn't factor in those two months (each ~0.3% increase), so actual closer to 3% or over 3%. Market expectation for overall forecast is 0.3%.
Tracks: all items, food, energy, all items less food and energy (core CPI), commodities, new vehicles, used cars and trucks, apparel, medical care commodities, shelter, transportation services, medical care services. Month-over-month changes added based on these.
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