ALERT: Trump Threats To Attack Iran After Negotiations Fail
In a Nutshell
US-Iran negotiations in Pakistan failed despite a fragile two-week ceasefire, prompting President Trump to announce a US Navy blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and threats to destroy any Iranian ships firing on peaceful vessels, while calling for 50% tariffs on nations arming Iran like China. Markets reacted negatively with Bitcoin dropping from $74,000 highs, oil prices poised to skyrocket (already up 100% in four months for 2026 contracts), fueling inflation and reducing Federal Reserve rate cut odds. The breakdown threatens escalation, with JD Vance noting the US final offer was rejected, advising caution on markets and highlighting Trump's absence at a UFC event.
These notes were generated by AI and may contain inaccuracies.
Today is April 12th, 8:22 AM in Arizona. Markets reacted from BTC highs of nearly 74,000 as talks in Pakistan between US and Iran were expected to negotiate an extension or finale to the war. A two-week ceasefire was announced last week by Trump, supposed to be the nail in the coffin.
Last night's meeting did not go well. President Trump states the US Navy will begin blockading any and all ships trying to enter or leave the Strait of Hormuz near Iran. > Any Iranian who fires at us or at peaceful vessels will be blown to hell.
This follows the failure of negotiations between Iran and the US.
Iranian side: > Despite various initiatives from Iranian delegation, the unreasonable demands of the American side prevented the progress of negotiation. Thus, the negotiations ended.
Islamic Republic has no plans for further nuclear talks with the US after negotiations brokered by Pakistan failed. No program has been announced for the time and place of the next round by Iran's Supreme National Security Council.
JD Vance, part of the negotiations: > We leave here with a very simple proposal and a method of understanding that it is our final and best offer. We'll see if Iran accepts it.
Collapse of talks places the current fragile two-week ceasefire under immediate threat.
Markets haven't opened yet (around 5:00 PM Arizona time), but already showing negative implications. Two-week ceasefire in place, but negotiations fell through. Trump threatening on Truth Social to blow up any Iranian ship that tries to block peaceful ships through the strait, which Iran runs. This asks for attack or escalation.
Congratulations to those who shorted the market or didn't believe in the meeting.
Oil is a big concern. Trump said a few weeks ago when oil prices skyrocketed: oil prices are high, but not that high; thought they would be a lot higher. Oil prices up 100% in past four months for 2026. Biggest contributor to inflation report released Friday last week. Costing average American 30% more month over month, causing huge increase in inflation rate.
Higher inflation means less likely Federal Reserve cuts rates; more likely to raise rates.
Oil focus for LPP team: continuous escalation means oil prices likely to skyrocket, overall markets likely to drop. Many anticipated reversal after upward move on no real positive news. Ceasefire had holes; parties begging to attack, especially Israel.
Interesting to see overnight markets open tonight, tomorrow's open, and what Trump announces to deescalate or make it seem not as bad for markets to rally. Be very careful.
President Trump calls to impose 50% tariffs on nations supplying arms to Iran, including China. War tariffs, energy crisis coming together. Trump campaigned on lower oil prices, no new wars; got the opposite.
Markets likely to drop, oil markets to skyrocket because negotiations fell through last night in Pakistan between US and Iran. Would it have differed if Trump was there? He was at UFC event instead.
Will discuss more in tomorrow's live trading session. For beginners, useful to watch live trading, pay attention to market, how we break it down in series of trades. Overwhelming alone, easier with team live every day at market open. Second link in description has huge discount; sign up today, watch live as soon as tomorrow. Let's end the year on a green note.
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