Trump Iran News Overshadowing Major Inflation Report
In a Nutshell
Trump announced Iran is begging for a deal amid the Strait of Hormuz blockage, sparking market rallies (NASDAQ +1.3%) that overshadowed a hotter-than-expected PPI inflation report jumping from 3.4% to 4%. Oil dipped and airlines rose on de-escalation hopes, while speculative stocks like RGTI (+10%) surged—take profits as risks remain if attacks resume. AMD hit $251 (up 26% from $200 dip buy), nearing resistance; trim positions, stay long but vigilant on inflation's delayed impact.
These notes were generated by AI and may contain inaccuracies.
Trump announced that Iran is begging to make a deal on Truth Social. Markets are rallying on day two of the closure of the Strait of Hormuz blockage, with US participation and still no attack. Trump claims Iran is begging to make a deal. Markets pushed higher immediately after his announcement.
Trump and Iranian officials are supposed to meet on Thursday (not tomorrow) to work on a possible agreement. They met last Saturday while Trump was at the UFC event, but it didn't go well and Trump was not involved.
Markets celebrating Trump's tweet and higher inflation. Today's PPI report (producer inflation): rose from 3.4% to 4%, below expectations of 4.6%. From 3.4% to 4% is a 6% jump, highest in at least the last 12 months since February 2023. What happens to producers gets passed to consumers, but markets don't care right now.
Markets expect oil prices to drop if Iran conflict ends, lowering energy and everything else. According to Trump, Iran is begging to make a deal.
NASDAQ up 1.3%, incredibly bullish, resilient, difficult to short. Congratulations to those going long this week.
Shoutout to traders. Made video on AMD: bought the dip for long-term portfolio and daughter's (born 2022, now 4 years old). Bought at around $200/share (lows hit $190), now at $251, up 26%, approaching previous highs and resistance. Not a sell signal, but consider taking profits or reducing exposure. Thinking about trimming position for own portfolio; daughter can decide in 14 years when she's 18.
NASDAQ rallying on possible end to war, not just ceasefire. Iran and US at Strait of Hormuz. If attacks begin, ceasefire thrown out. Be invested and go long, but aware it can shift if escalation happens.
Inflation at 4%, one of highest since February 2023; markets don't care now due to Iran news, but will weeks from now.
Oil down a little, airlines up (30% of expenses are oil), celebrating potential ceasefire. If attacks resume, oil could be dip-buy opportunity.
Speculative stocks up big: Oaklo up 6%, RGTI up 10%, Irene up 7%. Companies that don't make money killing it; be careful, take profits. Speculative assets crash hardest if things worsen.
Offers LPP service: trades live every morning at market open. Click second link in description for LPB team (discount available). End year on green note.
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