ALERT: TRUMP JUST CANCELLED IRAN ATTACKS
In a Nutshell
Trump cancelled planned strikes on Iran after a regional peace deal was approved by multiple countries, triggering a rapid 2% NASDAQ rally. Hotter-than-expected PPI data was initially negative but markets ignored it to rally on the de-escalation news. The speaker holds profitable short positions in INTC and MSTZ while warning beginners against shorting without proper risk management.
These notes were generated by AI and may contain inaccuracies.
President Trump cancelled scheduled strikes against Iran. He stated that discussion and final points have been approved in both concepts and great detail by all parties including the United States, Israel, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar, Turkey, Pakistan, Bahrain, Kuwait, Jordan, Egypt, and others. Iran was not mentioned as having approved the deal.
Markets responded immediately with increased volume and bullish price action. The NASDAQ moved from lows of 697 to highs of 712 in minutes, representing a 2% gain.
The market rally occurred because Trump cancelled the attacks. Escalations had been high after the US attacked Iran the previous day. Hours earlier, Trump posted on Truth Social that if Iran did not accept a peace deal by the end of the day, the US would bomb them. The tone then shifted to pursuing a peace deal instead.
Markets frequently celebrate peace deals. This has occurred 38 times previously, but markets rarely sell off when attacks are cancelled.
The SpaceX IPO is scheduled for the following day. It is described as one of the most anticipated IPOs in the speaker's adult life. Over $70 billion in retail orders have been placed. SpaceX is raising $75 billion, meaning retail interest alone could nearly fill the entire offering.
The Producer Price Index (PPI) report was released one hour before markets opened. Overall PPI came in at 6.5 versus the expected 6.4, up from the previous 5.7. Core PPI came in at 0.4% versus the expected 0.5% increase, showing no change from the prior 4.9 reading.
Markets initially sold off on the hotter overall PPI number but then rallied. The speaker notes this may have occurred because some traders anticipated the peace deal announcement. Buying pressure began during overnight hours, creating higher highs and higher lows.
Core PPI came in better than expected, similar to the previous day's CPI report. The speaker states markets are irrational and will seek any edge to continue higher. The 2% move occurred rapidly, and the team is watching for signs of continuation versus profit-taking that could lead to a correction.
The speaker maintains an active short position and is monitoring whether buying pressure will push prices higher or whether an overbought reversal will develop.
An active short position on INTC is up approximately $4,900, with potential to reach $6,000-$7,000 if price reaches $111 per share. MSTZ (inverse ETF) position is up over $2,200. The speaker bought MSTZ because shorting was unavailable during overnight hours and MSTR gapped up sharply.
Profits on MSTZ were taken before markets opened rather than holding through the full recovery from $963 to $1,086.
The speaker advises that beginners should not short or trade options without learning risk management and position sizing first. Shorting carries greater risk than buying options as a substitute. Markets are described as more bullish than bearish overall, with more money potentially made going long.
The speaker shares trades to explain thought processes rather than for direct copying. Daily live sessions provide in-depth market breakdowns and allow viewers to see trades executed live. A live trading video is available on the homepage via the second link in the description.
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