Breaking: Iran's Deadline for Trump Changes the Market
In a Nutshell
Trump announced a two-week double-sided ceasefire just before Iran's deadline, accepting their 10-point proposal as a negotiation basis, sparking a sharp market recovery with NASDAQ up nearly 3% in extended hours. Markets rally on de-escalation fears avoided—despite $40B spent, US casualties, doubled oil prices, and no nuclear deal—while resistance levels loom and overreaction risks persist. CPI report drops April 10, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. ET, potentially reversing gains if inflation spikes from oil, with live trading streams planned.
These notes were generated by AI and may contain inaccuracies.
Trump announces a two-week ceasefire just moments before the deadline. This is directly from Trump himself. It is a double-sided ceasefire. The US has received a 10-point proposal from Iran, which is a workable basis for negotiation.
Markets are sharply recovering in extended hours and overnight, up nearly 3% for the NASDAQ. Played it safe and closed position, still up $2,700 on SQ. Trump loves extending deadlines, as he did with tariffs and now with the Middle East. For the past 5 to 6 weeks, he has backed off when tensions rise to avoid obliterating an entire civilization, which could start World War III. He makes threats then offers extensions for possible ceasefire.
NASDAQ is rallying due to de-escalation from the ceasefire. Stock market cares only about ceasefire and less escalation, not Trump's negotiation style. If the US obliterates Iran, that is a huge escalation.
Markets have ripped up to previous resistance range. Markets are desperate and eager to recover. This is a huge push into the green, recovering 3% due to the two-week extension as long as the US agrees not to attack Iran. The 10-point peace plan is the same one offered a few weeks ago that Trump initially did not like, but now it is a general framework to work on. Stock market cares only about de-escalation.
$40 billion spent. Over 300 Americans wounded. Over a dozen killed. Oil prices have doubled. US bases severely damaged. Iran keeps uranium. No nuclear deal. Strait of Hormuz still unstable but expected to open as before. Back to where we started and pissed off everyone.
CPI data report released on April 10th, 2026 at 8:30 a.m. Eastern time, 1 hour before market opens on Friday. Will indicate if inflation is going up or down month over month. If higher than expected, especially due to oil prices, markets will drop because higher inflation means Federal Reserve less likely to cut rates and possibly raise them. Plan to live stream it for free.
Excited for huge gap up, to see overnight action and at market open. Possible oversold reversal or dip buying opportunity on SQQ, or continued rally on ceasefire celebration for next two weeks. Plan to live stream live trading session tomorrow morning. Second link in description to sign up and watch live trading.
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