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Is NOW the Right Time to Buy NVIDIA Stock?

Ricky GutierrezMay 20, 202611m
In a Nutshell

Nvidia shows strong fundamentals with $16B quarterly revenue and healthy margins, trading near fair value of $241 versus the current $220 for about 9% upside to new highs. Historical post-earnings performance has been mostly negative, and the speaker won't add shares at current elevated prices despite bullish sentiment and momentum. Risk management through position sizing, stop-losses, and favorable risk-reward ratios is essential before entering any trade.

AI-Generated Notes

These notes were generated by AI and may contain inaccuracies.

Nvidia is leading the semiconductor sector and the broader market with exceptionally strong fundamentals. On the daily chart, the stock has been very bullish and recently pulled back enough to establish support. Based on previous setups, Nvidia forms higher highs and higher lows. Technically, buying the dip for a long position offers approximately 9% profit potential if it reaches new all-time highs.

Nvidia plans to sell its H200 chips to 10 different China companies. This development was not previously factored into expectations. Additional information from the recent China trip may reveal how this benefits the company going forward and whether it could eventually open the door to selling their most powerful chips.

Despite the parabolic price movement, Nvidia is not overvalued in the same way as other hyped stocks like Intel. Fair value analysts estimate the stock is worth $241 while it currently trades at $220, representing 9% upside. The P/E ratio stands at 44.5 times earnings, which is high but reflects a premium for leading the AI space.

Nvidia generates nearly $16 billion in quarterly revenue. Its net income exceeds half of its revenue, with $120 billion in net income from $215-216 billion in revenue. The company is growing at an accelerated rate. Margins remain very healthy above 50%, allowing Nvidia to retain substantial profits even while making significant investments.

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