This Trump Iran update is causing chaos in markets
In a Nutshell
Trump's 9:00 p.m. ET address on Iran is set to drive market volatility, with traders urged to brace for deescalation signals (like opening the Strait of Hormuz) or escalation risks, including U.S. troops on the ground and recent IRGC tanker attacks—markets rallied yesterday on exit hopes but dipped today amid narrative flips. Nike stock plunged 14% to 2015 levels on weak 2026 guidance, questioning if it's a buyable dip amid lower highs/lows. Focus on deescalation for profits, size positions conservatively, and watch for post-announcement gaps; subscribe for live trading updates.
These notes were generated by AI and may contain inaccuracies.
Trump will address the nation at 9:00 p.m. Eastern time to provide an important update on the Iran war. Do you think he will announce updates on deescalation between Iran and the US, or a 95% chance he will talk about obliterating Iran and crediting himself? If carrying a position overnight, be aware of potential volatility based on his announcement. Possible topics: boots on the ground, stating they will be there temporarily as they move out of Iran.
If there is a potential ceasefire and deescalation, why send thousands of troops, young men on the ground? It does not make sense.
Nike plunged 14% today to one of the lowest price levels in a decade, back to 2015 trading levels. Is this a dip-buying opportunity, or consistent lower lows and lower highs for a household name losing credibility? Guidance is lower for 2026.
Trump claims Iran's new regime president, much less radicalized and far more intelligent than his predecessor, asked the United States for a ceasefire. Trump: We will consider when the Strait of Hormuz is open, free, and clear. Until then, continue blasting Iran into oblivion or back to the Stone Age.
There is no new president; the prewar president and current president are the same person.
Yesterday markets rallied on news of ending the war and leaving, even if Strait of Hormuz stays closed. Today: stay until Hormuz is open. Inconsistencies are causing people to lose hope in Trump; he changes narrative daily.
IRGC blew up another tanker in the Strait of Hormuz this morning; no full deescalation. Iran's FM says only Iran and Yemen will decide the future of the Strait of Hormuz.
Big news is Trump's update. Markets up 1% today, consolidating in range, waiting for deescalation or escalation signals. On 30-minute timeframe, breaking support means a long way down.
Do not let opinions cloud thinking. Markets care only about deescalation, regardless of method or Trump's negotiation style. Focus on making money: deescalation or not?
Markets oversold with recovery potential. If going long, use position size you can tolerate even if another leg down. Trump seems eager for a deal, but yesterday said 2-3 weeks left for the military operation. Just sent thousands of boots on the ground; hard to leave soon.
If US soldiers on the ground get killed, US and markets will not take it lightly; not viewed as deescalation.
Wait for 9:00 p.m. Eastern announcement to see if markets gap up or down.
Thumbs up and subscribe for updates. Watch live trading every morning, ideal for beginners. Second link in description: huge sale, less than $110 a day, one-time payment for lifetime access. Message on Instagram, linked in description. End the year on a green note.
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