Tucker Carlson Election Night LIVE From Mar-a-Lago With Special Guests
In a Nutshell
Tucker Carlson's live election night broadcast from Mar-a-Lago shows Donald Trump positioned for a decisive victory, with betting markets giving him 66-74% odds and early returns showing massive shifts in key demographics like Hispanic and Black voters. The conversation repeatedly emphasizes that Trump's win represents the start of a fight against entrenched institutional resistance from government agencies, media, Big Tech, and the administrative state that will attempt to block his agenda. Multiple guests stress that this victory, achieved despite 3-to-1 spending disadvantages, lawfare, and two assassination attempts, signals a fundamental realignment of American politics away from establishment control toward a new working-class coalition.
These notes were generated by AI and may contain inaccuracies.
Marjorie Taylor Greene sits directly across from Tucker Carlson in an anti-room at Mar-a-Lago on Election Night. They are moments from receiving another tranche of election results. Kamala Harris has won the state of Vermont. The observation is made that Vermont is full, but really just Burlington, with no chance Harris won the Northeast Kingdom or the pretty parts of Vermont - just the urban slum in Vermont.
With limited data available, Marjorie Taylor Greene expresses feeling optimistic but cautious. For the past eight or nine years, the left and the media have destroyed Donald Trump's character, defamed him, slandered him, impeached him twice, tried to lock him up, tried to bankrupt him, and tried to kill him. The question posed is why would they let him win.
The distance between the Trump portrayed in media and the Trump experienced in person is notable. Trump is described as truly hilarious and instinctively moderate - the least radical person known. Democrats know him just as well as others do, having partied with him, hung out with him, supported him, praised him, loved him, and taken his money.
Donald Trump has won the state of Florida by approximately a million votes, securing 30 electoral votes. Florida appears to be a solid Republican state at this point, described as a big red wall. Many people moved to Florida after COVID, as Democrats shut down the country and made life miserable for people. Suicide rates were at their highest at all times, with suicide rates in children higher than they've ever been.
Despite many people moving to Georgia, the state became more liberal. The Tech Corridor and Hollywood presence resulted from intentional recruitment and tax credits given to attract businesses. Electric vehicle battery plants were also brought to the state.
Marjorie Taylor Greene's race was called at 7 PM when the polls closed, which she takes as a good sign. She was elected for the third time. The arc of her public career is compared to Trump's: both came from outside politics, were declared dangerous to the country almost immediately, and endured attempts to remove them from the Republican Party.
Many Republicans who denounced her, voted to kick her off committees, and slandered her have since apologized. When they return home and get asked by constituents why they can't be more like Marjorie Taylor Greene, they figured it out.
Trump was attacked on the front page of every newspaper for allegedly saying white supremacists in Charlottesville were good people, which he never said. Greene was attacked for using the phrase "Jewish space lasers," which she never used. She actually attacked PG&E, which has been in the news for shutting down power.
Betting markets show Donald Trump at 66% and Kamala Harris at 34%, with approximately $282 million on the line. The bettors are described as average people, not rich individuals trying to swing the numbers, legitimately betting Trump will win.
Neither Tucker Carlson nor Marjorie Taylor Greene has ever been polled, and most of their family and friends have never been polled. This raises questions about how polls can be correct if everyone they know doesn't participate. Polls may be used not to measure public opinion but to shape it. An outlier poll in Arizona showed Trump losing the state, which scared Republicans, though no one believed it would happen.
Republicans are easily misled. There's been mass misinformation by the media, Democrats, Republicans, and consultants used to sway people's opinions and push their actions. If told repeatedly that Trump is a Nazi, Hitler, fascist, dictator, and losing according to polls, his supporters become less likely to vote for him or are embarrassed into not telling others they're voting for him.
Kamala Harris has 35 electoral votes so far, while Donald Trump has 95. 270 votes are needed to win.
Barack Obama tweeted that it took several days to count every ballot in 2020 and it's likely the outcome won't be known tonight. He suggested keeping in mind that thousands of election workers are working hard, don't share things before checking sources, and let the process run its course.
The response to Obama's tweet is that India, the biggest democracy in the world, gets its votes counted by sundown. The claim that they may not know for days is because they plan on stealing the election.
Voting machines are described as very faulty and a horrible product. People in the district reported votes switching on these machines. The voting machine companies intimidate people into silence through lawsuits. Dominion is described as a very sinister company that makes a lot of money from contracts.
Electronic voting machines are sold as faster and more accurate, but countries with hand-counted paper ballots get results faster than the US. The question is what could be the point of spending money on technology that's slower and less accurate. The government hands out contracts to friends and family, and these companies make significant money providing their products for elections.
Obama's tweet tells people to be nice to election workers and not harass them, but there are reports of election workers pushing out Republican poll watchers. The message is an inversion of how things should work - they work for us and should be nice to us.
Trump is up 11 points in heavily Latino Miami-Dade County with 80% of votes counted. Biden won it by 7 points in 2020, and Hillary won it by 30 points in 2016. This represents a 41-point swing in eight years. Trump is at 55% to Harris's 44% in this county.
The percentage of the Hispanic vote Trump wins is described as the most significant long-term number from the night. For someone accused of being a Klansman, racist, or Nazi, Trump is doing well among Hispanic voters.
If Trump wins, it will be the beginning, not the end. Winning will be a celebration, but it means time to get to work. If Trump goes back into the White House, it will be the most dangerous time in history because they cannot let him achieve what he's promised. This would destroy the globalist, elite agenda including climate change and migration plans.
Cliff Sims is introduced as one of the rare members of the first Trump Administration who stayed true to the vision of the candidate from the first day to the last. Not everybody in the first Trump Administration did this - there were some mercenaries and people of low character, but also some people of high character and clear vision. Sims will be involved in the president's transition efforts if Trump wins.
Betting markets show Trump at 65% and Harris at 35%, with $284 million on the line. These markets are not yet mature, so a single large bet could swing the numbers. However, when people put real money behind something, it carries meaning.
Polls have been wrong in 2016 and 2020, and are likely wrong now. There's an inverse relationship between the amount of news consumed and personal happiness. The wisdom that has stood the test of time suggests eliminating cable news consumption.
People who work in cable news are described as the most miserable people on Earth - sad, depressed individuals who have difficulty finding meaning in what they're doing. They chase dopamine hits from getting scoops. Most are unhappy, with only a handful of happy ones identifiable. They're also the least self-reflective people, which prevents them from finding meaning and happiness.
Florida voters rejected a ballot measure legalizing recreational marijuana use. The pro-drug people spent more money on this issue than any ballot measure in Florida history. The rejection is attributed to a backlash against the dramatic swing to the left on many issues. The pendulum swings hard in one direction before finding stasis in the middle.
The conversation addresses concerns about dab pens and their impact on young people, particularly college freshmen. The speaker expresses strong views that individuals profiting from these substances are criminals. The discussion notes that Trump has advocated for the death penalty for drug kingpins, aligning with a tough stance on drug policy. The speaker mentions admiration for Saudi Arabia's approach to drug policy.
Trump wins Florida by double digits, representing a significant change from previous years. The conversation highlights people voting with their feet by leaving states like California for Texas and Florida. The speaker argues this indicates people are not just leaving locations the left has decimated but are also abandoning left-wing political views.
A major cultural shift has occurred, evidenced by decreased hostility toward conservatives in public spaces. At Logan Airport, the speaker encountered no screaming or confrontations, contrasting with previous experiences. The speaker notes receiving positive interactions, including from a nurse expressing gratitude.
The stigma once attached to Trump personally and conservatism broadly has disappeared. Being conservative is now positioned as a countercultural movement, while leftism represents the establishment. College campuses, traditionally bastions of left-wing thought, now show significant Trump support among students wearing MAGA hats. Elon Musk's involvement is cited as a major factor in this cultural transformation.
Musk's influence extends beyond politics into the cultural zeitgeist, making his support for Trump particularly impactful. The speaker observes this shift even in local pickup basketball games in Birmingham, Alabama, where participants now request Trump memorabilia signed by the former president.
The conversation notes substantial support for Trump among black participants in the speaker's basketball games. This represents a real demographic shift, with young black males moving away from their historic Democratic Party alignment toward Republican support.
A new coalition is forming within the Republican Party. Working-class white voters, historically aligned with Democrats due to perceptions that Republicans represented Wall Street interests, now form the party's base. JD Vance is cited as an avatar for this transformation, representing the shift from working-class white America.
Seventy-five percent of the nation's wealth is held by Biden voters, making Republicans the financial underdogs. The Harris campaign spent three times what the Trump campaign spent, including independent expenditures. This raises questions about campaign strategy and the significance of winning despite being outspent.
Trump's larger-than-life personality enabled him to break the political machine in ways others couldn't. The key difference between candidates like Mitt Romney and Trump lies in their approach: Romney sought to avoid mistakes, while Trump prioritized authenticity over perfection. The ultimate takeaway is that authenticity has become the currency in modern politics.
The conversation addresses concerns about how Washington agencies, particularly the DOJ and CIA, will respond to a Trump victory. Past experience suggests institutional resistance, with agencies potentially rejecting the new administration. Success will depend on appointing individuals with sufficient resolve to avoid being captured by institutional interests.
Government service often leads appointees to prioritize agency reputation and employee interests over voter mandates. The speaker references observing this phenomenon through their father's government work. The challenge lies in finding individuals willing to implement meaningful change despite institutional pushback.
Incremental changes produce the same backlash as more substantial reforms, suggesting that meaningful change is preferable to cautious approaches. The mindset should focus on making reforms worth the inevitable opposition they will generate.
Trump's third presidential run differs from previous campaigns due to the involvement of successful business figures who were previously too invested in the existing system to publicly support him. This represents a significant shift in elite support.
David Sacks, a prominent tech figure from the San Francisco Bay Area, was among the first major tech leaders to endorse Trump. His All-In Podcast, started during COVID lockdown in early 2020, provided a platform for discussing business, markets, technology, and politics, reaching audiences previously unreached by Trump.
Virginia shows Trump tied at 41% with Harris, remarkable given the state's plus-10 margin for Biden in the previous election. The state's diverse regions create unusual political dynamics.
Sacks notes that his endorsement faced less negative reaction than similar statements in 2016 or 2020. Peter Thiel's 2016 RNC appearance is cited as a trailblazing moment. Approximately 20-25 major tech figures ultimately endorsed Trump, with Musk's support being particularly significant.
The Biden administration's broken promises of normalcy resulted in open borders, trillions in reckless spending, massive inflation, lawfare, and censorship. These policies, particularly the prosecution of political opponents, motivated increased opposition.
The weaponization of legal processes against Trump, including attempts to imprison and bankrupt him while targeting his family, crossed fundamental boundaries. Similar tactics against Musk's companies for restoring free speech on X demonstrate that political retaliation has become standard practice.
Social media, particularly X, represents a significant loophole in legacy media control. Trump's initial victory stemmed from issues including border security, trade, and forever wars, which disrupted established political dynasties.
Rather than adjusting policies after Trump's 2016 victory, the establishment responded with lawfare, hoaxes including Russiagate, and collaboration between Democratic Party, legacy media, administrative state, and security state. This opposition revealed a larger superstructure beyond individual candidates.
The opposition to Trump exposed a ruling class comprising government bureaucracy, legacy media, Democratic Party, big tech platforms engaged in censorship, and Hollywood affiliates. This structure operates as a de facto ruling party rather than representing democratic governance.
Vivek Ramaswamy joins the conversation, noted for being enhanced rather than diminished by his presidential campaign, unlike other candidates. The discussion references Wisconsin betting odds showing Trump leading 56-44, suggesting he may secure victory there before Pennsylvania results are known.
Modern technology allows tracking of rockets returning from space, yet the United States cannot count votes at the same rate achieved forty years ago. Puerto Rico conducts elections effectively with single-day voting on a national holiday, paper ballots, and ink-based voter verification where voters dip their finger in ink to prevent multiple voting. Results are delivered quickly with high public trust in the process. Countries capable of producing reliable electricity should also be able to conduct free and fair elections.
Efforts to restrict electricity production through coal mine closures and restrictions on natural gas fracking represent systematic dismantling of American energy infrastructure. Barack Obama tweeted that counting votes would take days and election workers are heroes, warning against sharing results before verification. This messaging would not have been issued if Kamala Harris were genuinely surging in the polls. India counts votes efficiently without extended delays.
No Republican presidential candidate has ever won an election that extended into overtime counting. The phrase "too big to rig" captures the current dynamic. Chris Wallace stated that a Kamala Harris victory would be a miracle given exit polls.
The campaign against Donald Trump progressed through civil suits, criminal cases, extrajudicial ballot removal attempts, and two assassination attempts. Despite these efforts, Trump appears positioned for a decisive victory. The next phase involves impeding the incoming administration through various mechanisms.
November 5th represents the beginning rather than the conclusion of political work. The real fight either begins or continues after Election Day.
Vivek Ramaswamy maintains a direct, non-sycophantic relationship with Trump based on candor rather than flattery. Trump was objectively the best president of the twenty-first century when compared to George Bush, Barack Obama, and Joe Biden. Their friendship developed after Ramaswamy left the presidential race, built on mutual respect for honest disagreement rather than transactional behavior.
Trump appreciates people who provide genuine opinions rather than nodding agreement. He jokes about Ramaswamy speaking too fast but values substantive engagement over empty praise.
Wisconsin results should be known by tomorrow morning. The sequence will likely include Arizona, North Carolina, Georgia, and Wisconsin determining the outcome. Pennsylvania will require extended counting. Credit goes to Elon Musk, Scott Pressler, and outside organizations rather than traditional party machinery for groundwork in key states.
Turning Point and Charlie Kirk, a thirty-year-old without a college degree, demonstrated superior operational effectiveness compared to the Republican National Committee. The Republican Party is permanently changed, with this election representing a redefining moment. The party of the future will be defined by outsiders bringing fresh perspectives and willingness to speak hard truths to both Democrats and traditional Republicans.
The America First movement should avoid the fate of the neoconservative movement, where participants repeated positions without understanding underlying reasons. The new Republican Party will be characterized by thinking individuals who understand their positions rather than adopting them through habit. Outsiders including Elon Musk, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., JD Vance, and Donald Trump himself exemplify this approach despite not agreeing on all issues.
Mitch McConnell's retirement party will likely be disrupted by the new political dynamics.
Donald Trump Jr. conducted 104 events in October 2020 and matched or exceeded that number this cycle. He describes his current state as operating on caffeine, nicotine, testosterone, and adrenaline.
This represents the most comfortable Trump Jr. has felt on election night across three cycles. Miami-Dade County was won by ten points, representing a forty-point swing from 2016 when the county was lost by thirty points. Florida voters from Cuba and Venezuela reject socialist policies. North Carolina and Florida demonstrate that states with reasonable election rules produce favorable outcomes.
States with voter ID laws produce better Republican results because opponents resist these measures to preserve cheating opportunities rather than to protect democracy.
A decisive outcome tonight depends on voter turnout. Extended counting periods create opportunities for fraudulent ballots to be introduced, particularly ballots marked only for president.
Ohio results provide positive indicators. Senate and House control remain priorities alongside the presidency. Sherrod Brown represents the biggest fraud in the United States Senate. Montana's John Tester presents another problematic incumbent. Candidates claiming alignment with Trump despite voting to impeach him twice and supporting Biden 99 percent of the time engage in misrepresentation.
Candidates claiming to support workers while admitting fifteen million people, including 600,000 criminals, 13,000 murderers, and 16,000 rapists, contradict their stated positions. The Democratic Party has shifted from working-class roots toward replacing citizens with imported populations.
Ted Cruz appears positioned for a significant victory despite heavy spending against him. Hollywood actors and external donors contributed substantially to challenger Colin Allred. Texas contains large numbers of illegal aliens, yet Hispanic voters have shifted toward Republicans.
Trump Jr. and Ted Cruz developed a relationship after a contentious 2016 primary. A dinner arranged by Tommy Hicks and Ray Washburne led to drinks at the Trump Hotel, where Cruz proved engaging and accommodating with supporters. They conducted multiple campaign events together in 2018.
Ted Cruz raised $113 million for his Senate race but was outspent three-to-one. Presidential campaigns face similar three-to-one spending disadvantages. Kamala Harris spent approximately one billion dollars. External funding from Hollywood and finance creates dependency on special interests rather than constituent priorities.
Unlimited campaign funding eliminates incentives for negotiation or efficiency, similar to foreign aid dynamics. Inherited wealth and unlimited resources enable drug addiction patterns. Trump remains effective because he has not been purchased by donors and responds directly to those attempting influence.
Trump has been observed rejecting donor pressure and speaking directly to wealthy contributors who previously opposed him, demonstrating independence from financial influence.
The speaker describes witnessing a donor walk away after donating 12 to 15 billion dollars, noting that the donor did not provide money needed to combat certain issues but that the moment was worth the cost. The experience of watching the donor leave with his tail between his legs was described as the best 25 million ever burned with lighter fluid and set ablaze.
At 2:00 AM in Michigan, the speaker observed an entire stadium energized and invigorated, believing they would win and perform well. The moment felt like the end of an era for Trump on the campaign trail, with the belief that such a personality-driven campaign would never be seen again due to lack of personality in politics.
People have attended 40 Trump rallies with the answer being that they are fun. Some individuals have attended over 100 rallies. The speaker's theory is that they are not seeking credit or trying to be in selfies, noting that politics has many people who want to be seen in the background.
The speaker prefers not to be in the background and would rather have the mic. Yesterday was the only day in the entire election cycle spent with their father, which was fun and great. The speaker shares this trait with their father, preferring to be active rather than passive.
After four rallies ending at 5:30 AM, the speaker was exhausted but noted that when the crowd gives energy, it is absorbed. After a Jacksonville event with 17,000 people, the speaker could not sleep for hours due to the absorbed energy.
The speaker is impressed with Trump's energy, noting his ability to get shot in the face and come back defiant. At 6 AM after going since 6 AM the previous day and entertaining thousands, Trump's energy remains remarkable. Unlike Kamala Harris's 7-minute speeches from a teleprompter, Trump delivers 120-minute speeches.
The first North Carolina rally started relatively on time but ended two hours behind schedule. The speaker pulled an all-nighter knowing they would be on TV and radio all morning, while Trump at 78 years old pulls all-nighters and does TV all day without sleep.
Trump was observed doing play-by-play analysis in front of his biggest donors for 40 minutes as returns came in, demonstrating remarkable recall of when people got on board, especially those who joined early. The speaker dismisses claims of Trump having dementia, contrasting this with the same people who claimed Joe Biden was alive and well, calling Biden's situation a Weekend at Bernie situation for four years.
The speaker argues that combining the full weight of mainstream media, a trillion-dollar industry, Big Tech, and 3-to-1 outspin makes it hard to compete, stating that if they were a leftist, Democrats would win elections 99.9 to 0.1. The speaker finds it remarkable that elections can even be competitive given how insane the Democratic Party is today.
The speaker looks forward to Nicole Wallace's response if Trump wins, wanting to juxtapose it with 2016 when Martha Raddatz was in tears on TV during the Hillary Clinton debate. The speaker questions Wallace's claim of being unbiased, noting 93% negative coverage against Trump and 176% positive coverage for Kamala Harris.
The speaker notes that Kamala Harris has not even given policies, with the media excusing her lack of charisma and refusing to cover her policy positions. The speaker describes this as brutal and hard to believe could result in a close election.
The speaker recalls interviewing Jeb Bush in Florida as a magazine writer and being required to think he was impressive, with Nicole Wallace serving as his gatekeeper. The speaker remembers thinking Wallace was really stupid, nasty, and self-important, later seeing her get an MSNBC show and become the most dishonest, weepy, sanctimonious figure.
Coming from the business world, the speaker notes that in business you cannot get lucky consistently, but in politics and media, incredibly unimpressive people succeed. The speaker finds it amazing what is happening with figures like Trump, JD Vance, and others.
The speaker takes credit for taking on the billionaire donor class that wanted their puppet VP. The speaker exerted 10,000% of their political capital on this decision, which may result in a favor from their father in 2076. After the debate, the decision proved correct as JD Vance turned out to be amazing.
Republican donor class people have approached the speaker admitting they were criticizing the VP decision behind their back for three weeks because they wanted a different candidate. The speaker notes they will remember these conversations despite the donors now admitting they were wrong.
After the debate, the speaker received 12 missed calls from their father while doing spin room work for 2 hours. Trump called saying the debate was a 10, noting that huge wins in Trump World are typically rated as sixes, making a 10 rating exceptionally high.
JD Vance was watched dismantling narratives on Sunday shows despite media attempts to crush him. The speaker notes that the Republican side's problem is wanting to be loved by people who hate them, while JD Vance pushed back on January 6th being called an insurrection and crushed his opponents.
JD Vance is one of the first people to break the mold by not accepting narratives blindly and pushing back, which the speaker finds awesome to see. The speaker notes that politics has not been an upside business for their family, costing billions of dollars, but they believe in the cause.
There is a bench and future for the Republican Party that will not revert to Mitt Romney types. America First is alive and well with impressive people on their side. The speaker feels vindicated after being told 5 years ago that Don Jr. was stupid, now seeing that Don Jr. is the smartest guy in the orbit who understands politics on a gut level.
Younger voters aged 18 to 29 in Michigan are narrowly going for Trump, which the speaker finds crazy. The speaker has taken more per capita selfies with Black men than any other group in the last 2-3 months, indicating a shift where no one is buying the nonsense anymore.
Trump flipped Baldwin County, which is 41% Black, marking the first Republican win in 20 years. The speaker notes this needs to translate to the blue wall states, with 93 more electoral votes necessary.
The West Coast states of Washington, Oregon, and California will provide gains for Harris, but Trump is expected to do well in Montana, Idaho, Utah, Arizona, and possibly Nevada. Nevada betting markets show Trump at 71% with 290 million in play.
Nevada has been owned by Democrats through the Harry Reid machine, but the speaker was there frequently and felt good about the ground game. The RNC under Michael Whatley has real people on the ground, poll watchers, and lawyers, making it harder to steal compared to previous elections.
The speaker notes that Democrats are vicious, evil, and crafty, and will change the game, while Republicans are usually reactionary. Having people on the ground to file lawsuits and watch for irregularities provides better security than previous cycles.
Nigel Farage, head of the UK Reform Party and prime mover of the Brexit movement, joins the discussion. Farage is tied in history with Donald Trump as Brexit happened just as Trump's candidacy was taking off.
Farage states this election is about leadership of the Western world and what signal gets sent to dictators launching wars. The Abraham Accords were smashed to pieces, and Biden's Afghanistan withdrawal left behind 85 billion dollars of military equipment, which Putin interpreted as weakness before invading Ukraine.
Tony Blinken and Biden's team have been spreaders of global chaos to an extent not seen in Farage's lifetime. Both Arabs and Israelis are rooting for Trump, with overwhelming public opinion polling in Israel showing support for Trump.
A new coalition is emerging in American politics, including Muslims who are naturally small-c conservative and believe in family values. The Muslim community in New York is out for Trump, with imams coming on stage with Trump in Michigan.
The coalition includes Arabs and Israelis, rural whites from North Georgia mountains, and young urban Black men in Atlanta all supporting Trump. Among young people, being conservative is suddenly cool, trendy, fun, and exciting because it links to ambition and bettering oneself.
After tonight's win, there is a chance to build something that could last for many years. The lies of the media have become too preposterous, possibly causing their collapse.
Farage could see Biden's condition on day one from London, wondering how America could have a man like Biden leading them while making the world more dangerous. Mainstream media covered up Biden's condition.
Donald Trump is way head and shoulders above everybody else, like a king in British terms. The coalition includes Robert F. Kennedy Jr. backing Trump and Elon Musk backing Trump.
Dana White, the most powerful man in sports and a longtime personal friend of Trump's, joins the discussion. White describes Trump as good but the situation as nerve-wracking.
Betting markets show Trump at 61% likely to win Nevada. White predicts it will come down to Pennsylvania but Trump may win unexpected states.
White endorsed Trump despite running a huge business with complicated advertisers. No one in business makes political endorsements of Trump because the cost can be high, but White did it because he has been friends with Trump for a very long time and considers him a good human being.
White describes watching the machine come after Trump, trying to break him financially, throw him in jail, and attempt assassination. Trump is the only human being who could have dealt with this situation.
After endorsing Trump, White gained 177,000 followers in 48 hours posting hardcore political Trump content, with his base being hardcore Trump followers and conservatives. During COVID, White's fan base grew 68% while honoring all contracts and not laying anyone off.
When COVID started and everything shut down, White brought employees together and said if anyone did not feel safe they could go home, but nobody left. White was put on the sports task force to help get sports back sooner.
White lives like it is 1985, supporting candidates without fear. No altercations have occurred from supporting Trump; instead, people thank White for supporting the president.
Vegas feels like there is a lot of support for Trump. Not taxing tips and not taxing overtime would be huge for Las Vegas. Clark County is considered one of the biggest cheating states.
The New York Times needle no longer shows the election as a tossup, now saying Trump has a 65% likelihood to win, described as leaning Trump.
Donald Trump is at 74% to win the presidential election with almost 300 million dollars at stake, while Kamala Harris is at 26%.
White discusses his health regimen and Trump's refusal to follow dietary advice. Trump tells White he is too thin and wants some size on him.
Trump consumes Big Macs, Milky Ways, and Coke, never seen drinking water. At 78, Trump sits at fights for 6 hours without water, only drinking Coke when offered.
Despite not sleeping for 48 hours and likely having under 4 hours before that, Trump remains cognitively sharp with high energy levels. Scientists should study how Trump maintains this level on his diet.
Trump texts back immediately at any hour. He gets pissed off when FaceTimed but answers for White. Kid Rock was observed answering FaceTime from Trump while in pajamas.
Senator Mike Lee of Utah, a longtime libertarian and constitutional scholar who was suspicious of Trump but became one of his great champions, joins the discussion.
Lee believes Trump will win and it could easily end up being an electoral landslide. People are tired of policies that got the country to this point.
Lee cannot understand how Kamala Harris has gotten away with distancing herself from policies she championed under Biden, unable to identify a single piece of daylight between her and Biden.
Trump leading among young people 18 to 29 is shocking. Harris is portrayed as cool, a wine mom who loves abortion and dancing, friends with P. Diddy, and loved by Taylor Swift, but young people find her unwatchable.
Harris's CNN interview was 17 minutes of unwatchability. The Democratic Party commandeered the electoral process to put her up without a primary.
It was easy to go to Harris as vice president because she was next in line, but nobody stopped to examine if she could go the distance or had policy chops to be the standard bearer.
Lee interviews Senate candidates for a couple hours minimum before endorsing to make sure he knows them. This process is magnified hundreds of times for the presidency.
The FAA has taken a radical DEI position, removing minimum criteria for aptitudes in math and science and replacing them with demographic material that violates the equal protection clause.
When the 14th Amendment's equal protection clause was drafted, the intent was that race does not matter and government's position must always be that race does not matter.
Joe Biden told the public he would pick someone of a specific gender and race for both Harris and Ketanji Brown Jackson, which is insulting to the people picked.
A Daily Mail piece reports the US will test a hypersonic nuclear missile tonight just hours after election polls close amid growing World War III fears. The Minuteman 2 intercontinental ballistic missile is scheduled to blast off between 11:01 PM and 5:01 AM.
A nuclear missile test was scheduled at Vandenberg Space Force Base in California on the same day as the presidential election. The timing is considered bizarre given that there are 364 other days available in the year. The most favorable explanation offered is that Pentagon officials were politically tone-deaf and didn't consider the election timing, though this is viewed as strange regardless.
The endorsement of Donald Trump by Robert F. Kennedy Jr. late in the campaign is viewed as a sea change in American politics and a sign of a long-overdue realignment between the parties. RFK Jr. campaigned harder for Trump than expected, working at a comparable level to his own presidential campaign efforts.
Donald Trump is compared to Andrew Jackson as a populist candidate who entered office without money or backing from powerful interests. Jackson challenged and dismantled banks and installed people considered heretics in public office. Trump's first cabinet was largely gone within two years as he learned to govern and replaced conventional lobbyist-type appointments.
A tweet from RFK Jr. stating that the Trump White House will advise all U.S. water systems to remove fluoride from public water received 23.5 million views. The tweet noted that fluoride is an industrial waste associated with arthritis, bone fractures, bone cancer, IQ loss, neurodevelopmental disorders, and thyroid disease. An October 4th court case brought before an Obama-appointed federal judge challenged the EPA for never conducting safety studies on fluoride. Fluoride was added to water in the 1940s to prevent tooth decay, but now most mouthwashes and toothpastes contain fluoride, making water fluoridation unnecessary. Studies show that fluoride at double the EPA-allowed rate causes dramatic IQ loss in children, particularly unborn fetuses. It also causes bone cancer, arthritis, bone deterioration, fractures, thyroid injuries, and calcifies the pineal gland which creates spiritual feelings.
The CDC considers water fluoridation one of the 10 greatest health inventions of the 20th century. The agencies resist removing fluoride because they don't want to admit mistakes after promoting products to the public. The EPA is expected to drag its feet for 10-15 years on implementing the court-ordered changes. Removing fluoride from water is described as one of the easiest steps to restore American health, resulting in higher IQ children and reduced bone cancer.
A 1986 law gave vaccine companies blanket liability protection from lawsuits. When RFK Jr. was a child, there were three vaccines required, compared to 72 vaccines now required for children, with six additional COVID and flu vaccines recently added. A DTP vaccine withdrawn in America but still given to African children causes death or profound brain injuries in one out of every 300 recipients. The vaccine schedule expanded significantly in the early 1970s. The liability shield was granted after vaccine companies told the Reagan White House they were losing $20 in downstream liability for every dollar collected in revenue and would stop making vaccines without protection.
Vaccines were introduced by the Public Health Service, one of five uniformed military services, as national security defense against biological attacks. The goal was to enable rapid vaccine formulation and deployment to 220 million civilians without regulatory impediments if Russia attacked with anthrax or other biological agents. Normal medical products require approximately eight years to reach market with double-blind placebo-controlled trials and long-term effect studies. Biologics were exempted from pre-licensing safety studies, meaning no vaccine on the 72-vaccine schedule has undergone placebo-controlled pre-licensing safety trials.
President Trump asked RFK Jr. to accomplish three things at public health agencies: eliminate corruption and agency capture that prioritizes pharmaceutical company interests over public health, return agencies to gold standard scientific research and evidence-based practices they were known for historically, and end the chronic disease epidemic with concrete measurable results within two years. The specific role (HHS Secretary or White House position) remains undecided, but the authority to implement changes stems from strong reception among Trump voters at public events.
When RFK Jr. was young, the Democratic Party was the party of peace, constitutional rights, and working people, while the Republican Party was the country club party representing big corporations and wealth. Today, the Democratic Party has become the party of war, surveillance, censorship, weaponization of federal law enforcement, Big Pharma, Wall Street, Big Tech, Big Agriculture, the military-industrial complex, and Big Data. The Republican Party has gained working-class support. Sean O'Brien, Teamsters Union president who overthrew old leadership, has 65% of Teamsters supporting Trump. In 1980, 70% of wealth was owned by Republicans and 30% by Democrats; by 2020, these percentages reversed.
Democratic Party abandonment of Title IX principles is evident in allowing biological males to compete in women's sports, resulting in 2,000-3,000 medals taken from female athletes. RFK Jr.'s niece Zoe, a Boston College softball scholarship recipient and one of the team's best players, would lose her spot if a biological male joined the team. The Democratic Party's position on this issue is considered inconsistent with its historical advocacy for women's sports.
The Democratic Party canceled primaries in many states and moved the New Hampshire primary where RFK Jr. was strong. A rule was adopted stating that any Democratic candidate stepping foot in New Hampshire could not win delegates there regardless of votes received. RFK Jr. was winning among Democrats under 35, independents under 45, and beating both Trump and Biden in head-to-head polling among these groups. After Biden's cognitive deficits were exposed in the debate, a "palace coup" occurred with Harris selected as the candidate despite receiving no primary votes. Chris Cuomo noted at the Democratic Convention that unidentified billion-dollar Democratic donors in owner boxes were making decisions. Harris's convention speech was described as the most undemocratic ever heard at a Democratic convention, focusing on America as world policeman with a former CIA director speaking immediately before her.
During the Cuban Missile Crisis, JFK's intelligence and military advisors pushed for bombing Cuba's 64 missile sites. When asked how many men would be killed, they estimated 500 per site. JFK asked whether they were Russians or Cubans, and upon learning they were likely Russians, noted that Khrushchev would have to respond in Berlin, starting World War III. The ExComm committee voted 8-6 to bomb on the final day, but JFK overruled them, demonstrating presidential willingness to reject military advice when it risked escalation.
Trump demonstrated detailed knowledge of Middle East troop placements by drawing a map showing troop strength in each country. He identified 500 American troops on the Syria-Turkey border in an encampment that had been bombed, noting 750,000 Turkish troops and 250,000 Syrian troops nearby. When his general described the 500 men as "cannon fodder," Trump ordered their immediate removal.
Trump demonstrated detailed knowledge by drawing an accurate map of the Middle East showing troop strength in each nation. This level of specific geographic and military understanding contrasts sharply with Kamala Harris's performance explaining the Ukraine war, which appeared sophomoric. The discussion emphasized the need for a president who asks rational questions and makes sound decisions for the American public.
Trump stands against the military and intelligence apparatus that seeks perpetual war. The claim that Harris would lead the country into nuclear war stems from her refusal to engage in direct conversations with Putin, a stance shared by Biden. Trump faced criticism for meeting with Kim Jong-un and Putin, with Democrats claiming he "loves dictators," when these meetings represented necessary diplomatic engagement.
During the Cold War, the CIA had no accurate intelligence on Moscow after losing all their spies. The uncle of the speaker argued against the monolithic view of the Soviet system, comparing it to Boston politics where factions compete against each other. The CIA initially dismissed this perspective, claiming it was impossible to understand internal Soviet dynamics.
The uncle installed a hotline in the White House and another in his home, with wires still visible in his brother's house. This allowed direct 24-hour communication with Khrushchev, bypassing the military-industrial complex. They exchanged 26 letters, smuggled by GRU spy Georgie Baloy, whom both trusted to avoid involving intelligence agencies that favor perpetual war.
The New York Times estimated Trump would win the popular vote, marking the first Republican victory in this category since George W. Bush's 2004 post-9/11 election. Betting markets showed Trump at 86% probability with $34 million at stake.
Miranda Devine of the New York Post was credited with single-handedly challenging the censorship state in 2020 regarding the Hunter Biden laptop story. The Mar-a-Lago ballroom atmosphere featured Trump seated with Dana White and Elon Musk, with Trump repeatedly turning to watch CNN's coverage showing Jake Tapper's visibly upset expression.
Australia, the UK, and European countries typically deliver election results within hours. France prohibits mail-in voting and voting machines. The UK implemented voter ID requirements in recent years. Florida, with a population comparable to Australia, can call elections within one minute, highlighting the antiquated nature of delayed American voting systems.
Trump's trajectory represents an unprecedented comeback: from media darling to political figure, facing arrest, demonization, mug shots, opposition from the entire media establishment, the CIA, and FBI. Despite being outspent 3-to-1, he refused to retreat after 2020 and maintained his political engagement.
The assassination attempt in Butler, Pennsylvania, where Trump stood up and declared "fight, fight, fight," served as a galvanizing moment. This display of courage prompted Elon Musk to emerge publicly and influenced Joe Rogan, representing a once-in-a-lifetime display of leadership that resonated particularly with men but also women.
A Trump victory, potentially including the popular vote and majority Hispanic support, would represent a repudiation of the New York Times, CNN, and media outlets that labeled him a Nazi and racist. The question arises whether this outcome would prompt self-reflection among media organizations.
Newsrooms operate under control from malign influences including Big Pharma, Big Agriculture, the CIA, and FBI. These entities direct coverage against Trump and his administration. The 51 former intelligence officials who signed the Hunter Biden laptop letter retained their security clearances despite their involvement.
Iowa polling that predicted a Harris landslide proved spectacularly wrong. Robert Cahaly from Trafalgar noted that the "shy Trump voter" has become the "fearful Trump voter," concerned about government retribution, cancellation, and potential consequences for expressing support.
Journalists historically engaged in dangerous fieldwork, including war reporting and jumping from planes, rather than remaining behind keyboards in newsrooms. The current media landscape lacks this tradition of courageous, hands-on reporting.
A decisive Trump victory would establish four years for his administration and potentially eight additional years for JD Vance or another successor. The MAGA movement has fundamentally altered conservative politics, moving away from the Bush-Cheney establishment approach toward a new political framework.
Alina Habba, Trump's lawyer, noted that Trump faced numerous fake criminal charges designed to prevent his candidacy. The coordinated legal assault included multiple indictments, raids, and legal filings that would have imprisoned him under the original plan. Habba described the experience as "God's plan" and a blessing, viewing the attacks as validation of her voice and platform.
Habba, a first-generation American who did not attend Harvard, credits Trump with providing her a platform despite her non-traditional background. She emphasizes that God, faith, and family remain her priorities over political considerations, and she views the legal battles as necessary to protect her children from the current cultural environment.
Habba switched her children's school due to excessive woke ideology. She argues that parents should not accept the current cultural direction being imposed on children, viewing her legal work as part of a broader defense of traditional values.
Eric Trump reported that internal numbers showed strong performance in Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. He indicated that winning Georgia, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania would secure victory, with Wisconsin, Nevada, and Arizona representing additional advantages.
The Trump family endured nine years of systematic attacks including impeachments, the Russia dossier, 111 subpoenas to Eric Trump personally, raids on family members' rooms, attempts to remove Trump from state ballots, and an assassination attempt. Eric Trump described this as the greatest vindication possible if victory came early and decisively.
Eric Trump received calls from the Washington Post and New York Times claiming Trump Tower had secret servers connected to the Kremlin. The FBI knew from day one that no such servers existed in the basement, as basements flood and the company operates primarily cloud-based systems. The investigation was allowed to continue for three years despite this knowledge.
The Russia collusion narrative nearly destroyed communication between the world's largest nuclear superpowers. Historical precedents exist where misidentified satellite launches nearly triggered nuclear responses, requiring direct phone communication between leaders. The fabricated story risked similar catastrophic misunderstandings between nuclear powers.
Trump is described as not vindictive despite attacks claiming otherwise. When laid out clearly, the insults bother others more than they bother Trump himself. His son takes the insults hurled at Trump more personally than Trump does. Trump is a billionaire who did not need the job, as his life would be better sitting at Mar-a-Lago enjoying life, yet he wants to do this because he wants to save the country. There are no vacations, and the team has not slept in 48 hours after seven different rallies in the last 36 hours leading up to the election.
If Trump wins, it is described as vindication of the American people rather than vindication of Donald Trump. The American people understand the political games, have not believed them, and will vote for the guy the establishment tried to take down mercilessly because they do not like the establishment. The establishment considered them the flyover states and forgot about them, viewing them as a subhuman class. The American people are going to support the guy who was fighting for them every single day. As a son, it is the greatest feeling in the world if Trump wins overwhelmingly with 315-316 electoral votes and possibly wins the popular vote or comes as close as anybody could to winning the popular vote.
When Trump lost in 2020, there was a belief that something was wrong with the election and that it was stolen. Nobody backed him, his own party wanted him out, they were embarrassed of him, and they hated that he would not be quiet. He was not allowed on Fox News. For every public attack named, including impeachments, the Kavanaugh situation, Twitter and Facebook censorship, there are a hundred personal attacks the public never saw that never made it across channels. Everybody abandoned him, and it was literally him and Rudy against every weaponized system.
The weaponization included the DOJ, the FBI, the mainstream media, social media platforms when they pulled Trump off those platforms, the Department of Health when doctors suggested hydroxychloroquine might work and licenses were ripped, and the military when Milley made statements. They weaponized every single government institution and mainstream media, yet one guy with a loud voice defeated it all because he had the American people behind him.
Trump came in not knowing what a delegate was, not knowing what a caucus was, and asking staff to explain what a caucus was before speaking at one in Iowa. A guy who literally knew nothing about the system beat Hillary Clinton, one of the greatest political dynasties ever, when she outraised him 5 to 1, with her raising $1.5 billion while he put in $200 million and raised another $100 million. Against all odds, he beat the mainstream media and the entire weaponized system. He was down and out with serious questions about what happened in 2020. Statistically, it could be proven he was at 210 electoral votes and came back after all of that to win by a massive electoral number.
If Trump wins by a massive electoral number, it will be one of the greatest comeback stories of all time. He wrote two books: The Art of the Deal and The Art of the Comeback. The parallels to the 2016 campaign are incredible in The Art of the Deal, and The Art of the Comeback mirrors his life in politics. He had financial problems in the early 1990s when interest rates went up to 18% and he was heavily levered, yet he fought his way back from the brink and came back bigger and stronger. If he does what is expected within the next hour or two, it is going to be the greatest comeback in American history, possibly the greatest comeback in political history, down and out with everyone against him, sitting in a freezing cold courtroom with 34 indictments, everything they tried to do to bury him, bankrupt him, destroy his family, and split everyone up.
Trump said one last thing coming down the escalator the first day: people were going to remember who their real friends are, and they were going to hit in ways that could never possibly be imagined, and they were going to be ruthless. He said that going down the elevator before getting on the escalator before he announced in 2016. In 2016, the deep state was thought of as Nancy Pelosi being in government for 40 years, or Joe Biden being in government 15 years longer than some people had been alive. Drain the swamp meant get rid of Maxine Waters who had been there for 40 years. It was not understood that the CIA would come after you, the DOJ would come after you, every AG and DA would be weaponized against you, and there would be made-up hoaxes. The words rang true that they were going to come after in ways that could not possibly be imagined.
Elon Musk walked in with his son. The child said they should help President Trump. Looking at data coming in from every county in Pennsylvania at 10:52, it seems extremely likely if not certain that Trump is going to win. The early voting data in Pennsylvania shows the Republican minus Democrat vote delta was 62,000 as of that morning, meaning relative to 2020. The difference in early voting was over 600,000, and Biden's margin of victory in 2020 was only 880,000. A reasonable extrapolation assuming in-person voting is no better than 2020 would expect a margin of victory for Trump of approximately half a million.
Kamala's campaign was outspending Republicans 3 to 1 in the swing states, including any contribution Musk made. The legacy media was overwhelmingly in favor of Democrats and might as well be an extension of the DNC, with the DNC sending them talking points and everyone talking like NPCs all day long. There were countless celebrity endorsements, with 80-90% on the Democrat side. The America PAC massively improved the Republican ground game in the swing states, with attention paid to the Amish community in Pennsylvania. The Democrats made a mistake with government overreach against Amish farmers, shutting down some Amish farmers, which made them upset. The Amish are allowed to ride in vans as long as they are not driving the van, so they were transported to vote, and they vote 99.9% or 100% for Trump.
Musk endorsed Trump within minutes of him being shot and went more all-in than anyone had ever seen. The philosophy is to play to win and not play by half measures. Musk was with the team every day seven days a week working the early votes in Pennsylvania and other swing states, first focusing on maximizing registrations and then getting early votes once the registration deadline was over.
X is the one place where truth can be found. Pressure on Musk included multiple Democrats saying he should go to jail, take away all government contracts from his companies, nationalize his companies, deport him as an illegal, and arrest him because he is apparently Putin's best friend. Rachel Maddow is described as a crazy person, a frothing at the mouth fascist pretending to be a liberal, and it would be a nightmare if she was in charge in a position of political power.
Last time Trump was elected, they tried to impeach him within 20 minutes of him taking office. This time, there is a decent chance of a significant victory, not a small victory. At the point of having a clear public mandate, the numbers were close to winning the popular vote in addition to the electoral vote, even though there was basically zero campaign in California. If Republicans actually try to win the popular vote, they can do it.
It made a big difference that Trump and Vance went on lengthy podcasts. People listen to someone talk for a few hours on podcasts like Joe Rogan's, Lex Friedman's, and the All-In podcast to decide whether they are a good person and whether they like them. Rogan's podcast is 3 hours long, and nothing would do more damage to Kamala's campaign than going on Joe Rogan because she would run out of notecards after about 45 minutes and could not hide in three hours. Hour two and three would be a complete melted puddle of nonsense. Trump is just being a normal person having a conversation and doing three hours of Rogan with no problem.
Trump is a very interesting and funny person, much maligned by the media. He has withstood a lot. When Musk endorsed him immediately after he was shot, the reaction to being under fire shows whether someone is brave or a coward. The bullets hit him, blood came down his face, there could have been a second shooter, and yet he said fight, fight, fight. That is true courage that cannot be faked. America is the home of the free and the land of the brave, so that is who should be president.
Musk plans to help improve government efficiency through the Department of Government Efficiency. There is a gigantic government bureaucracy with overregulation and agencies that have overlapping responsibilities. There are something like 450 federal government agencies, almost two per year that have been created since America was founded. It is getting to the point where basically everything is illegal and nothing can get done. This translates to real costs to people that are hidden but very substantial. It is very hard to build new housing when burdened with massive requirements that do not make any sense, which drives up housing costs and slows down new housing starts. The goal is to let the builders of America build.
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