WATCH THIS BEFORE BITCOIN DROPS BELOW $70,000...
These notes were generated by AI and may contain inaccuracies.
A round of applause to the bag holders for their tolerance. Bitcoin was at 71,400 and showing lower lows and lower highs. It will likely break $70,000 the day before or on MSTR earnings report. Question: Can it gap down from $70,000 into the low 60s or high 50s?
As Bitcoin falls, feel free to buy. Not in support of Bitcoin—never have been, never will be. It's a speculative asset, but believe in your right to buy as much as you want. Not discouraging buys, but advise against using leverage or money you cannot afford to lose, especially during an aggressive downturn.
Overall markets retraced 1.75% on NASDAQ (30-minute timeframe: early drop, retests, extended hours sell-off). Still incredibly bullish—pullback does not define reversal. BTC on daily chart: 45% retracement, lost nearly half its value. In bear markets, Bitcoin loses 70-85%. Unrealistic for average person with less than $1,000 to tolerate 50-80% swings if it's the future currency.
Past 3-4 months: lost 40%. People paid last month don't want 20-30% losses—not sustainable with this volatility.
Bhutan actively selling Bitcoin holdings ($22.4 million sovereign outflows). Only El Salvador and Bhutan bought as sovereign policy—both now sold or distanced.
Uncertainty from MSTR earnings tomorrow and Binance suing claims of insolvency (per Jacob King on X.com). FTX did the same before bankruptcy. Conspiracy: Jeffrey Epstein as Bitcoin's Satoshi—nail in the coffin for crypto.
Google killed earnings: better-than-expected revenue, EPS, cloud server results. Capex guidance: $180 billion vs. expected $120 billion—aggressively investing. Annual: $124 billion net income, $385 billion revenue. Market cap: $4 trillion pre-close. Sold off post-earnings, gapped up, sold off again. MAG7 stocks beat earnings but sell off.
Not cheap prior to earnings (daily chart). Own Google at $1 to $150 per share (self, daughter, partner). No intention to buy at $300. Love Google—would buy more if it sells off enough. Deal hunter: unsustainable to overleverage at overbought levels (like Michael Saylor).
Great investing: conviction without stupid buys. Assets move in waves—upswings and downturns. Stay cash heavy, wait on sidelines, deploy when deals appear. Makes sense to buy Bitcoin now (not at $126k) when fear is high.
Bitcoin likely continues sell-off to sub-$50,000. Buy when blood in streets—better risk-reward than all-time highs. At $120k, upside 10% ($130-140k) vs. downside 30-80%. Crypto bros overleverage on unregulated platforms due to FOMO.
Tomorrow: Amazon, Irene (Strategy?) after close. MSTR actively selling off—LPP traders short since $500 peak (2024 videos public). Predict via balance sheet: failing software business loses $500 million/year. Dilutes investors, creates shares, borrows against them. Why invest in MSTR Bitcoin treasury vs. direct Bitcoin?
76% downturn (543 to 129). Depends on stock sales to pay interest—unsustainable in downturn. Q4 2025 earnings: expected $17 billion unrealized loss (new accounting rule for quarterly unrealized gains/losses). Prior quarters showed fake profits from unrealized gains—don't make real money.
Trade live mornings with LPP team (link in description). Critical tone challenges viewers to focus on ratios, downside risk—beginners chase upside. End year green.
Invest with conviction but not stupid buys. Buy when blood in the streets, not all-time highs.
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